CRWS:NASDAQCrown Crafts, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time
$2.72
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Crown Crafts trades around $2.72, sitting below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages (2.80, 2.90 and 2.87 respectively) and the MACD has turned bearish, indicating short‑term downside pressure despite a modestly increasing volume. The RSI at 42 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while the current price remains just above the calculated support level of $2.63, leaving limited upside in the near term. Dividend yield appears attractive at nearly 12%, but the payout ratio exceeds 130% and earnings per share are negative, raising serious concerns about sustainability.
From a valuation perspective, the discounted cash‑flow model assigns a fair value of roughly $13.74, implying a substantial discount to market price, and the forward P/E of 3.6 signals a potentially cheap entry point. However, the company’s fundamentals are weak – revenue is down 11%, profit margins are negative, debt totals $26.5 million against a market cap of just $29 million, and ROE is –20%. These factors, combined with a volatile 30‑day price swing of over 27% and a low‑beta (≈0.6) exposure to market moves, paint a picture of a high‑risk, value‑oriented play in the consumer cyclical sector.
From a valuation perspective, the discounted cash‑flow model assigns a fair value of roughly $13.74, implying a substantial discount to market price, and the forward P/E of 3.6 signals a potentially cheap entry point. However, the company’s fundamentals are weak – revenue is down 11%, profit margins are negative, debt totals $26.5 million against a market cap of just $29 million, and ROE is –20%. These factors, combined with a volatile 30‑day price swing of over 27% and a low‑beta (≈0.6) exposure to market moves, paint a picture of a high‑risk, value‑oriented play in the consumer cyclical sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Unsustainable dividend payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant discount to DCF fair value
- Potential for earnings turnaround
- High debt load limiting flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Deep valuation gap versus intrinsic value
- Structural challenges in profitability
- Consumer cyclical exposure to economic cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.30%
Profit Margin-11.10%
P/E Ratio3.6
ROE-20.43%
ROA1.45%
Debt/Equity67.62
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$9.9M
Free Cash Flow$12.7M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support$2.63
Resistance$3.04
MA 20$2.80
MA 50$2.90
MA 200$2.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.43
Valuation
Fair Value$13.74
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.94%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility27.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.