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CRNT:NASDAQCeragon Networks Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

$2.71

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ceragon Networks (CRNT) is trading at $2.71, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $2.87 but above the 50‑day ($2.66) and 200‑day ($2.35) averages, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI of 46 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, reinforcing the near‑term downside pressure. Volume has been trending lower, and the stock is approaching its calculated support at $2.42, with resistance near $3.29.
Fundamentally, the company reports a negative profit margin (-0.7%) and a modest operating margin (3.1%), yet it generates positive free cash flow of $27.5 M and holds more cash than debt. The forward PE of 12.9 is well below the industry average of 37, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $4.08 implies roughly 78 % upside. However, earnings are currently negative (trailing EPS –$0.02) and ROE is -1.4%, highlighting profitability concerns. The high beta (~2.0) and 30‑day volatility of nearly 69 % point to a volatile equity, while the Fear & Greed Index at “Extreme Greed” suggests market optimism may be overstated. Upcoming Q1 results on May 19 could be a catalyst that either validates the upside thesis or confirms the near‑term weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal near‑term weakness
  • Price testing support at $2.42 with limited upside before resistance
  • Upcoming earnings release could confirm or reverse the current trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates ~78 % upside
  • Forward PE far below industry average, suggesting valuation cushion
  • Positive free cash flow and cash‑over‑debt position support operational stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for wireless backhaul and 5G infrastructure
  • Undervalued relative to peers with solid balance sheet
  • Geographic diversification, especially growth potential in India

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.10%
Profit Margin-0.73%
P/E Ratio12.9
ROE-1.45%
ROA1.99%
Debt/Equity19.57
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$35.5M
Free Cash Flow$27.5M
Industry P/E37.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.5
Support$2.42
Resistance$3.29
MA 20$2.87
MA 50$2.66
MA 200$2.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair Value$4.08
Target Price$4.83
Upside/Downside78.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.05
Volatility68.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.