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CRI:NYSECarter's, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time

$34.57

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Carter's, Inc. trades around $34.57, just above its 20‑day simple moving average and comfortably above the 200‑day average, indicating a neutral technical stance. The RSI sits in the mid‑40s and the MACD histogram is marginally positive, suggesting limited upside momentum in the short run. Fundamentally, the company posts a 7.6% revenue growth rate with a 45% gross margin, but its forward price‑to‑earnings of roughly 10x and a dividend yield near 3% point to a mature, cash‑generating business. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of about $6.80 per share starkly contrasts with the current market price, flagging a significant overvaluation signal. Risk factors include high 30‑day volatility and a beta above 1, combined with decreasing volume trends, which amplify downside risk in a consumer‑cyclical environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral technical indicators (price near SMA20, RSI mid‑40s)
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term liquidity
  • Proximity to identified support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth and solid gross margin
  • Attractive dividend yield with a payout ratio around 60%
  • Forward PE compression indicating earnings improvement

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • High volatility and beta exposing the stock to market swings
  • Consumer‑cyclical sector sensitivity to economic cycles

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin3.17%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE10.32%
ROA3.60%
Debt/Equity131.03
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$122.3M
Free Cash Flow$51.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.1
Support$31.69
Resistance$37.17
MA 20$34.60
MA 50$36.70
MA 200$31.90
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.43

Valuation

Fair Value$6.84
Target Price$37.00
Upside/Downside7.03%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.41
Volatility75.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.