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CRESY:NASDAQCresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time

$12.14

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CRESY trades at a **PE ratio of ~5.7**, dramatically lower than the industry average of ~28.5, and offers a **5.16% dividend yield** with a modest payout ratio of ~31%. The stock price sits just below the recent resistance of $12.75 and above the 20‑day SMA, while the MACD shows a bullish crossover and the RSI is neutral at 54, suggesting limited short‑term upside. Recent material news about the company’s approval to issue additional shares for warrant exercises could add dilution pressure, but the strong **20% revenue growth** and solid operating margins provide a compelling value case. Overall, the market appears to undervalue CRESY, with an estimated upside of ~23% versus current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $12.75
  • Bullish MACD but neutral RSI
  • Potential dilution from new share issuance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics (PE ~5.7 vs industry ~28.5)
  • Strong revenue growth (20%) and solid operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield with room for upside (~23%)

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load (Debt/Equity ~78.5) and negative free cash flow
  • Exposure to Argentine macro‑economic and currency volatility
  • Sustainable dividend only if cash flow improves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.30%
Profit Margin19.21%
P/E Ratio5.7
ROE20.96%
ROA2.30%
Debt/Equity78.53
P/B Ratio9.8
Op. Cash Flow$222.7B
Free Cash Flow$-180016742400
Industry P/E28.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.4
Support$10.50
Resistance$12.75
MA 20$11.57
MA 50$12.12
MA 200$11.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.43

Valuation

Fair Value$49,389.32
Target Price$14.93
Upside/Downside22.94%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.96
Volatility41.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.