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COFORGE:NSECOFORGE FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

₹1,108.80

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

COFORGE is trading at INR 1,108.8, barely above its 20‑day support of INR 1,105 and well below its 50‑day (INR 1,502) and 200‑day (INR 1,709) simple moving averages, confirming a pronounced bearish trend. The RSI sits at 16.9, deep in oversold territory, while the MACD line remains negative and diverges from its signal, reinforcing downside momentum. Volume has been decreasing, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 37.3%, suggesting heightened price swings. The stock has endured a recent max drawdown of roughly 44% and, despite an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 75.36), the low beta (~0.06) indicates limited correlation with broader market moves.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above critical support
  • Bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA hierarchy)
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential stabilization near support
  • Recognition as market leader supporting earnings outlook
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in digital transformation services
  • Attractive forward PE relative to sector peers
  • Sustainable dividend yield and low currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1108.8
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI16.9
Support₹1,105.00
Resistance₹1,560.00
MA 20₹1,265.73
MA 50₹1,502.29
MA 200₹1,709.10
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.36

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility37.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.