COAL:BSECOAL INDIA LTD Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
$26.74
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Range Global Coal ETF is trading at $26.74, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $25.59 and the 200‑day SMA of $22.04, suggesting a lingering bullish bias despite a neutral overall trend. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with the RSI at 59.6 (well below overbought levels) and a bullish MACD histogram of 0.16. Volume is on the rise, reinforcing the price’s ability to test the near‑term resistance at $27.41, while the nearest support at $24.32 offers a solid floor. Market sentiment is tilted toward greed, as reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 72.9, and the fund’s beta of 0.63 indicates moderate sensitivity to broader market moves. However, the 30‑day volatility of 31% and a recent max drawdown of -18.8% highlight notable price swings, underscoring the need for disciplined positioning.
Given the current technical backdrop and macro‑environmental pressures on coal, short‑term opportunities appear limited to a cautious hold, while medium‑term prospects remain modestly positive if demand holds. Long‑term outlook is clouded by ESG trends and potential regulatory headwinds, suggesting a more defensive stance for investors seeking durability beyond the next year.
Given the current technical backdrop and macro‑environmental pressures on coal, short‑term opportunities appear limited to a cautious hold, while medium‑term prospects remain modestly positive if demand holds. Long‑term outlook is clouded by ESG trends and potential regulatory headwinds, suggesting a more defensive stance for investors seeking durability beyond the next year.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term SMA but below resistance
- Bullish MACD and rising volume
- RSI below overbought threshold
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- SMA alignment indicating upward bias
- Support level providing downside cushion
- Greed‑driven market sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- ESG and regulatory pressures on coal
- High volatility and drawdown risk
- Potential shift to alternative energy sources
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price26.74
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.6
Support$24.32
Resistance$27.41
MA 20$25.59
MA 50$25.67
MA 200$22.04
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.63
Volatility31.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.