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COAL:BSECOAL INDIA LTD Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$26.74

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Range Global Coal ETF is trading at $26.74, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $25.59 and the 200‑day SMA of $22.04, suggesting a lingering bullish bias despite a neutral overall trend. Momentum indicators remain supportive, with the RSI at 59.6 (well below overbought levels) and a bullish MACD histogram of 0.16. Volume is on the rise, reinforcing the price’s ability to test the near‑term resistance at $27.41, while the nearest support at $24.32 offers a solid floor. Market sentiment is tilted toward greed, as reflected by a Fear‑Greed Index of 72.9, and the fund’s beta of 0.63 indicates moderate sensitivity to broader market moves. However, the 30‑day volatility of 31% and a recent max drawdown of -18.8% highlight notable price swings, underscoring the need for disciplined positioning.
Given the current technical backdrop and macro‑environmental pressures on coal, short‑term opportunities appear limited to a cautious hold, while medium‑term prospects remain modestly positive if demand holds. Long‑term outlook is clouded by ESG trends and potential regulatory headwinds, suggesting a more defensive stance for investors seeking durability beyond the next year.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMA but below resistance
  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • RSI below overbought threshold

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • SMA alignment indicating upward bias
  • Support level providing downside cushion
  • Greed‑driven market sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • ESG and regulatory pressures on coal
  • High volatility and drawdown risk
  • Potential shift to alternative energy sources

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price26.74
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.6
Support$24.32
Resistance$27.41
MA 20$25.59
MA 50$25.67
MA 200$22.04
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility31.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.