CL:NYMEXCrude Oil Futures Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-02 - not real-time
$95.01
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Colgate‑Palmolive (CL) is trading at $95.01, just below its calculated resistance of $95.17 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $90.23, indicating strong upward momentum. The RSI of 66 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.36) reinforce a continued bullish bias, while the 30‑day volatility of 26.8% suggests ample price movement opportunities. Technicals are supported by a stable volume trend and a beta of –0.33, implying limited correlation with broader market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index at 91.23 (Extreme Greed) reflects optimistic market sentiment.
Fundamentally, Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations, driven by 8.4% revenue growth and robust sales in emerging markets, offset by a $300 million cost impact from Middle‑East tensions. The dividend yield of 2.29% and forward PE of 23.5 provide defensive appeal, but elevated geopolitical risk and cost‑inflation pressures warrant caution as the price approaches its resistance ceiling.
Fundamentally, Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations, driven by 8.4% revenue growth and robust sales in emerging markets, offset by a $300 million cost impact from Middle‑East tensions. The dividend yield of 2.29% and forward PE of 23.5 provide defensive appeal, but elevated geopolitical risk and cost‑inflation pressures warrant caution as the price approaches its resistance ceiling.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (RSI 66, MACD bullish)
- Strong Q1 earnings and emerging market momentum
- Price positioned near but below resistance, offering upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential pull‑back at resistance level
- Ongoing cost inflation and geopolitical cost hit
- Stable dividend yield and defensive sector positioning
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Resilient consumer staples business with dividend income
- Long‑term growth prospects in emerging markets
- Defensive nature and low correlation to equity market volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price95.005
Futures CurveContango
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityHigh
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI66.1
Support$84.30
Resistance$95.17
MA 20$90.23
MA 50$88.64
MA 200$84.77
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.23
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.33
Volatility26.78%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.