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CL:NYMEXCrude Oil Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time

$88.10

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Colgate-Palmolive Company is neutral at $88.10, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 5.0%. RSI sits at 37.8, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $87.29 as support and $93.88 as the nearer resistance level.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 18.3%, a beta of -0.33 and a maximum drawdown of 17.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Top Market Events

Colgate-Palmolive extended its EPS beat streak to five quarters with a 4.Seeking Alpha1monColgate-Palmolive Company CL Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGood morning.Yahoo Finance1monColgate-Palmolive Company CL Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcriptColgate-Palmolive delivered strong Q2...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 87.81
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • RSI at 37.8 is in neutral territory

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 87.81
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day volatility of 18.3%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • 30-day volatility of 18.3%
  • Beta of -0.33 versus the benchmark
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 87.81

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price88.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.8
Support$87.29
Resistance$93.88
MA 20$90.65
MA 50$91.67
MA 200$87.81
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.36

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.33
Volatility18.28%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.