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BHARTIARTL:NSEBHARTI AIRTEL FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

₹1,850.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bharti Airtel is trading at ₹1,850.8, comfortably below its 20‑day (₹1,950.8), 50‑day (₹1,999.1) and 200‑day (₹1,978.6) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term downtrend despite a relatively strong market cap. The RSI of 30.4 places the stock in oversold territory, while the MACD line sits at -40.2 against a signal of -31.1, confirming bearish momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting fresh participation, and the price is hovering near the identified support at ₹1,815.3 with resistance around ₹2,057. The Fear‑Greed Index reads 80.36 (Extreme Greed), indicating market optimism that may be at odds with the technical picture. Additionally, a slightly negative beta (-0.06) implies the stock moves modestly opposite to broader market swings, offering a modest defensive tilt.
Given the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release (scheduled for Feb 6, 2026), any surprise—positive or negative—could catalyze a rapid move toward the nearby resistance or support zones. Investors should monitor the earnings beat/miss, the evolution of volume, and any shifts in sentiment reflected by the Fear‑Greed Index. In the near term, the confluence of oversold technicals, rising volume, and bullish market sentiment creates a nuanced backdrop: a potential bounce off support is plausible, yet the broader bearish trend remains dominant.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support
  • Oversold RSI suggesting upside potential
  • Bearish MACD indicating continued downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential earnings beat in Q3 2026
  • Increasing volume trend supporting liquidity
  • Extreme greed sentiment may drive price toward resistance

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market cap and stable cash flows in telecom sector
  • Negative beta offering defensive characteristics
  • Fundamental valuation (PE ~36, forward PE ~27) still attractive relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1850.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.4
Support₹1,815.30
Resistance₹2,057.00
MA 20₹1,950.76
MA 50₹1,999.06
MA 200₹1,978.56
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.36

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.11
Volatility19.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.