BANDHANBNK:NSEBANDHAN BANK FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
₹162.54
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Bandhan Bank is trading at ₹162.54, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (₹176.60) but below the 50‑day SMA (₹161.22), indicating a mixed short‑term bias. The RSI sits at 41, suggesting modest downside momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, reinforcing a near‑term pull‑back risk. Volume has turned increasingly aggressive, supporting the price bounce from the day low of ₹153.94 toward the resistance zone near ₹190.23. Despite the neutral trend classification, the 30‑day volatility of 44.5% and a beta near zero point to a stock that can swing sharply on market sentiment, which is currently in an "Extreme Greed" phase (FGI 79.07).
Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 26 versus a forward P/E of just 9.9, implying a sizable earnings upside potential, and a price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests the stock is fairly priced relative to its book value. The modest dividend yield of 0.85% adds a small income cushion, while the low currency risk (INR‑denominated) and improving liquidity (volume well above 10‑day average) temper the overall risk profile. Together, these factors point to a cautious hold in the short run, with a bias toward buying on any pull‑back and maintaining exposure for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation.
Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 26 versus a forward P/E of just 9.9, implying a sizable earnings upside potential, and a price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests the stock is fairly priced relative to its book value. The modest dividend yield of 0.85% adds a small income cushion, while the low currency risk (INR‑denominated) and improving liquidity (volume well above 10‑day average) temper the overall risk profile. Together, these factors point to a cautious hold in the short run, with a bias toward buying on any pull‑back and maintaining exposure for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and negative histogram
- Increasing volume but high volatility
- Price near support at ₹153.94
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E compression to 9.9x
- Resistance level at ₹190.23 offering upside
- Neutral trend with improving sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong book value (P/B 1.06)
- Stable dividend yield
- Low currency and liquidity risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price162.54
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.4
Support₹153.94
Resistance₹190.23
MA 20₹176.61
MA 50₹161.22
MA 200₹163.98
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.07
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.06
Volatility44.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.