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BANDHANBNK:NSEBANDHAN BANK FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

₹162.54

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bandhan Bank is trading at ₹162.54, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (₹176.60) but below the 50‑day SMA (₹161.22), indicating a mixed short‑term bias. The RSI sits at 41, suggesting modest downside momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, reinforcing a near‑term pull‑back risk. Volume has turned increasingly aggressive, supporting the price bounce from the day low of ₹153.94 toward the resistance zone near ₹190.23. Despite the neutral trend classification, the 30‑day volatility of 44.5% and a beta near zero point to a stock that can swing sharply on market sentiment, which is currently in an "Extreme Greed" phase (FGI 79.07).
Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 26 versus a forward P/E of just 9.9, implying a sizable earnings upside potential, and a price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests the stock is fairly priced relative to its book value. The modest dividend yield of 0.85% adds a small income cushion, while the low currency risk (INR‑denominated) and improving liquidity (volume well above 10‑day average) temper the overall risk profile. Together, these factors point to a cautious hold in the short run, with a bias toward buying on any pull‑back and maintaining exposure for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram
  • Increasing volume but high volatility
  • Price near support at ₹153.94

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E compression to 9.9x
  • Resistance level at ₹190.23 offering upside
  • Neutral trend with improving sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong book value (P/B 1.06)
  • Stable dividend yield
  • Low currency and liquidity risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price162.54
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.4
Support₹153.94
Resistance₹190.23
MA 20₹176.61
MA 50₹161.22
MA 200₹163.98
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.07

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility44.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.