AUBANK:NSEAUBANK FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
₹884.35
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AU Small Finance Bank is trading at ₹884.35, essentially perched on its near‑term support of ₹881.90. The 20‑day SMA sits at ₹968.65, well above the current price, while the 200‑day SMA at ₹856.28 provides a longer‑term floor, underscoring a price gap that could trigger a bounce. The 14‑day RSI of 31.1 signals oversold conditions, and despite a bearish MACD histogram, the volume trend is increasing, hinting at accumulating buying interest. The stock’s market cap of roughly ₹660 billion and a forward P/E of 18.6 (vs. trailing P/E of 28.7) suggest a valuation discount relative to earnings outlook. Recent news highlights a strong Q3 performance with robust deposit and loan growth and improved asset quality, reinforcing the fundamentals. However, a 30‑day volatility of ~29 % and a max drawdown of 17 % reflect notable price swings, though the Fear‑Greed Index at 72.8 points to market optimism. Overall, the blend of technical support, oversold momentum, improving fundamentals, and favorable valuation creates a modest upside bias while keeping risk in check.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price at support level with oversold RSI
- Increasing volume despite bearish MACD
- Strong Q3 earnings and deposit growth
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E compression indicating valuation appeal
- Continued asset quality improvement
- Moderate macro‑rate sensitivity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta and stable earnings trajectory
- Large market cap and solid capital base
- Positive market sentiment (Greed index) and dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price884.35
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.1
Support₹881.90
Resistance₹1,039.20
MA 20₹968.65
MA 50₹982.64
MA 200₹856.28
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.10
Volatility29.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.