We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

AUBANK:NSEAUBANK FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₹884.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

AU Small Finance Bank is trading at ₹884.35, essentially perched on its near‑term support of ₹881.90. The 20‑day SMA sits at ₹968.65, well above the current price, while the 200‑day SMA at ₹856.28 provides a longer‑term floor, underscoring a price gap that could trigger a bounce. The 14‑day RSI of 31.1 signals oversold conditions, and despite a bearish MACD histogram, the volume trend is increasing, hinting at accumulating buying interest. The stock’s market cap of roughly ₹660 billion and a forward P/E of 18.6 (vs. trailing P/E of 28.7) suggest a valuation discount relative to earnings outlook. Recent news highlights a strong Q3 performance with robust deposit and loan growth and improved asset quality, reinforcing the fundamentals. However, a 30‑day volatility of ~29 % and a max drawdown of 17 % reflect notable price swings, though the Fear‑Greed Index at 72.8 points to market optimism. Overall, the blend of technical support, oversold momentum, improving fundamentals, and favorable valuation creates a modest upside bias while keeping risk in check.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price at support level with oversold RSI
  • Increasing volume despite bearish MACD
  • Strong Q3 earnings and deposit growth

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E compression indicating valuation appeal
  • Continued asset quality improvement
  • Moderate macro‑rate sensitivity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and stable earnings trajectory
  • Large market cap and solid capital base
  • Positive market sentiment (Greed index) and dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price884.35
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.1
Support₹881.90
Resistance₹1,039.20
MA 20₹968.65
MA 50₹982.64
MA 200₹856.28
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility29.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.