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ARCLK:BISTARCELIK ANONIM SIRKETI FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

TRY 113.30

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Arçelik (ARCLK) is trading at 113.3 TRY, comfortably below its 200‑day SMA of 118.4, confirming a bearish trend direction. The MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI sits at 46, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at 43%, suggesting heightened price swings. Technical support sits at 104.2 TRY, with resistance near 136 TRY, giving the stock a wide downside buffer but also a sizable upside target. Valuation metrics appear attractive: a forward P/E of 7.35 and a price‑to‑book of 0.99 imply the stock is trading at a discount to its book value. The market cap of roughly 68.9 billion TRY reflects a sizable, established player in the consumer‑durable sector. Despite the bearish technical setup, the “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (77.8) hints at market optimism that could support a rebound. Short‑term investors should watch for a break below support or a bounce off it, while medium‑ and long‑term horizons benefit from the undervalued valuation and resilient demand for home appliances.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA200, negative MACD)
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Proximity to key support level at 104.2 TRY

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive forward P/E and price‑to‑book below 1
  • Potential upside toward resistance around 136 TRY
  • Fundamental resilience of consumer‑durable demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation relative to book value
  • Strong market position and large market cap
  • Long‑run growth prospects in household appliance sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price113.3
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.4
SupportTRY 104.20
ResistanceTRY 136.00
MA 20TRY 116.17
MA 50TRY 116.46
MA 200TRY 118.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.79

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.13
Volatility43.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.