ADANIENT:NSEADANI ENTERPRISES FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
₹1,961.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Adani Enterprises is trading at INR 1,961, well below its 20‑day (INR 2,117) and 50‑day (INR 2,137) simple moving averages, signaling a pronounced bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 34 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD line sits at –49.8, far beneath the signal line at –28.8, confirming negative momentum. Price remains trapped between a strong support at INR 1,940 and resistance near INR 2,254, with the current level only modestly above the 52‑week low of INR 1,848. Volatility is elevated at 39% over the past 30 days, yet trading volume is increasing, suggesting accumulating interest despite the downtrend. A negative beta of –0.21 indicates the stock moves inversely to broader market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index at 72.9 (Greed) reflects a market appetite for risk that could favor a rebound.
In the medium to long term, the company’s diversified commodity exposure and strategic growth projects provide a catalyst for upside, especially if it can break above the INR 2,254 resistance and capture the broader market’s risk‑on sentiment. However, the current bearish technical setup and high short‑term volatility warrant caution, recommending a measured approach until price stabilises above support and momentum indicators improve.
In the medium to long term, the company’s diversified commodity exposure and strategic growth projects provide a catalyst for upside, especially if it can break above the INR 2,254 resistance and capture the broader market’s risk‑on sentiment. However, the current bearish technical setup and high short‑term volatility warrant caution, recommending a measured approach until price stabilises above support and momentum indicators improve.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages indicating bearish bias
- Increasing volume suggesting potential accumulation
- RSI near oversold levels offering a possible short‑term bounce
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Proximity to strong support at INR 1,940
- Potential to capture upside to resistance at INR 2,254
- Market risk appetite reflected by a high Greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified commodity portfolio and strategic growth projects
- Historical capacity to recover from bearish cycles
- Long‑term upside potential toward the 52‑week high of INR 2,695
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1961.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.1
Support₹1,940.40
Resistance₹2,254.00
MA 20₹2,117.02
MA 50₹2,136.70
MA 200₹2,358.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.21
Volatility39.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.