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ADANIENT:NSEADANI ENTERPRISES FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₹1,961.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Adani Enterprises is trading at INR 1,961, well below its 20‑day (INR 2,117) and 50‑day (INR 2,137) simple moving averages, signaling a pronounced bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 34 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD line sits at –49.8, far beneath the signal line at –28.8, confirming negative momentum. Price remains trapped between a strong support at INR 1,940 and resistance near INR 2,254, with the current level only modestly above the 52‑week low of INR 1,848. Volatility is elevated at 39% over the past 30 days, yet trading volume is increasing, suggesting accumulating interest despite the downtrend. A negative beta of –0.21 indicates the stock moves inversely to broader market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index at 72.9 (Greed) reflects a market appetite for risk that could favor a rebound.
In the medium to long term, the company’s diversified commodity exposure and strategic growth projects provide a catalyst for upside, especially if it can break above the INR 2,254 resistance and capture the broader market’s risk‑on sentiment. However, the current bearish technical setup and high short‑term volatility warrant caution, recommending a measured approach until price stabilises above support and momentum indicators improve.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages indicating bearish bias
  • Increasing volume suggesting potential accumulation
  • RSI near oversold levels offering a possible short‑term bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Proximity to strong support at INR 1,940
  • Potential to capture upside to resistance at INR 2,254
  • Market risk appetite reflected by a high Greed index

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified commodity portfolio and strategic growth projects
  • Historical capacity to recover from bearish cycles
  • Long‑term upside potential toward the 52‑week high of INR 2,695

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1961.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.1
Support₹1,940.40
Resistance₹2,254.00
MA 20₹2,117.02
MA 50₹2,136.70
MA 200₹2,358.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.21
Volatility39.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.