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6525:TSEKokusai Electric Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

NT$125.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GEM Services is trading at TWD 125.5, comfortably above its 20‑day (119.5), 50‑day (104.2) and 200‑day (85.1) moving averages, confirming a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 62 reinforces momentum while the MACD has turned bearish, with the histogram negative, hinting at a short‑term pull‑back. Support sits around 101 and resistance near 138, with the stock currently positioned midway and volume trending lower, suggesting limited upside momentum in the immediate term. Volatility is high at 70 % over the past 30 days, yet beta is low (≈0.31), indicating the price swings are largely company‑specific rather than market‑driven.
Fundamentally, the company posted 5.47 billion TWD in revenue, growing 12 % YoY, and delivers solid profitability (gross margin 27 %, operating margin 19 %, net margin 14 %). ROE stands at 18 % and cash balances (3.03 billion TWD) dwarf modest debt, supporting a generous 3.98 % dividend yield with a 72 % payout. Valuation appears attractive: the PE of 21.6 is well below the industry average of 36.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value of 185 TWD suggests ample upside. These fundamentals, combined with a sustainable dividend, point to an undervalued, dividend‑oriented play.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price approaching the 138 resistance level
  • bearish MACD divergence
  • decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates ~48% upside
  • strong cash generation and low debt
  • double‑digit revenue growth (12%)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • valuation well below industry PE average
  • sustainable 4% dividend yield
  • robust ROE of 18% and consistent profitability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.80%
Profit Margin14.33%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE18.20%
ROA9.67%
Debt/Equity1.31
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$1.3B
Free Cash FlowNT$964.6M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.3
SupportNT$101.00
ResistanceNT$138.00
MA 20NT$119.48
MA 50NT$104.18
MA 200NT$85.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$185.46
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.31
Volatility70.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.