600887:SSEInner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
CN¥27.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Inner Mongolia Yili trades just below its recent resistance level, with technical indicators showing a modest bullish MACD divergence and increasing volume, while the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages sit just under the current price, suggesting limited upside momentum. The stock benefits from a strong dividend yield in the double‑digit range and a mid‑teens price‑to‑earnings multiple, positioning it as an attractive income play despite a modest revenue growth rate and high debt load.
The company’s cash conversion remains solid, with operating cash flow comfortably covering its dividend, though free cash flow is thin and the payout ratio is high, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. Low beta and a defensive consumer sector backdrop temper market risk, but elevated 30‑day volatility and a sizable debt‑to‑equity ratio signal caution for risk‑averse investors.
The company’s cash conversion remains solid, with operating cash flow comfortably covering its dividend, though free cash flow is thin and the payout ratio is high, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. Low beta and a defensive consumer sector backdrop temper market risk, but elevated 30‑day volatility and a sizable debt‑to‑equity ratio signal caution for risk‑averse investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term resistance with limited upside
- High dividend yield attracting income seekers
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth and solid operating cash flow
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Attractive dividend income offset by payout pressure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑run demand for dairy products in China
- Defensive consumer sector positioning
- Dividend yield remains compelling despite payout concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.50%
Profit Margin10.27%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE19.09%
ROA5.01%
Debt/Equity99.20
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥17.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥796.4M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.0
SupportCN¥24.30
ResistanceCN¥27.70
MA 20CN¥26.20
MA 50CN¥25.72
MA 200CN¥26.93
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield9.59%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.09
Volatility24.90%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.