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2388:HKEXBOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-27 - not real-time

HK$49.88

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited trades at HKD 49.88, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.9%. RSI sits at 50.4, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near HKD 48.82 and resistance around HKD 52.35.
The shares look fair, trading on 13.1 times earnings below a sector average of 17.1. Revenue is contracting at 2.7% on a 58.4% profit margin. The 10.04% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 22.1%, a beta of 0.21 and a maximum drawdown of 13.6%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — buy short-term against hold longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.

Top Market Events

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Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 43.63
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 13.1 versus sector average of 17.1
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 43.63

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 13.1 versus sector average of 17.1
  • Profit margin of 58.4% is healthy
  • Revenue contracting at -2.7%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.70%
Profit Margin58.38%
P/E Ratio13.1
ROE11.67%
ROA0.95%
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$-304603004928
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.4
SupportHK$48.82
ResistanceHK$52.35
MA 20HK$50.50
MA 50HK$48.29
MA 200HK$43.63
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.77

Valuation

Target PriceHK$51.20
Upside/Downside2.65%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield10.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility22.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.