4527:TSERohto Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
NT$42.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kuen Ling Machinery trades at TWD 42.1, comfortably above its 20‑day (41.28), 50‑day (40.68) and 200‑day (41.03) moving averages, while the RSI sits at 61 and the MACD line is bullish, suggesting short‑term momentum remains intact. Valuation metrics are compelling: the stock’s PE of 12.5 is far below the industry average of 33.7 and the DCF‑derived fair value of 62.26 points to a roughly 30% upside potential. Dividend yield is exceptionally high at 7.6%, though the payout ratio approaches 95%, raising questions about sustainability if earnings continue to fall. Revenue has contracted sharply (‑30% YoY), yet the balance sheet is strong with a low debt‑to‑equity of 15%, ample cash (TWD 678 m) and robust free cash flow (TWD 319 m). Volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at 14.9% and beta is low (0.39), indicating limited market‑wide risk, while volume is rising, supporting liquidity. Overall, the stock appears undervalued with solid cash generation, but the steep revenue decline and aggressive dividend policy inject medium‑term uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- High dividend yield but near‑maximum payout ratio
- Increasing trading volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap vs DCF fair value
- Strong cash flow and low leverage
- Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue contraction raises growth concerns
- Undervalued multiples and low beta suggest defensive profile
- Potential upside if turnaround or dividend policy adjusts
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-30.30%
Profit Margin6.77%
P/E Ratio12.5
ROE10.90%
ROA3.96%
Debt/Equity15.42
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$447.5M
Free Cash FlowNT$318.5M
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.1
SupportNT$40.35
ResistanceNT$42.85
MA 20NT$41.28
MA 50NT$40.68
MA 200NT$41.03
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$62.26
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.60%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.39
Volatility14.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.