13:HKEXIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-06 - not real-time
NT$102.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Cathay Consolidated, Inc. trades at TWD 102.50, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 7.7%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 44.7 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at TWD 100.50 up to resistance at TWD 105.00.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 14.6 with no clean sector comparison available. Revenue is growing at 40.7% on a 16.8% profit margin. The 5.85% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 26.8%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 19.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 14.6 with no clean sector comparison available. Revenue is growing at 40.7% on a 16.8% profit margin. The 5.85% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 26.8%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 19.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 96.97
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of -7.7%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 5.85% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 96.97
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 5.85% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Profit margin of 16.8% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +40.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth40.70%
Profit Margin16.77%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE24.42%
ROA10.32%
Debt/Equity36.75
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$335.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$-20270000
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.7
SupportNT$100.50
ResistanceNT$105.00
MA 20NT$102.93
MA 50NT$106.92
MA 200NT$96.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$95.60
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility26.85%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.