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13:HKEXIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

HK$6.85

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) trades at a **trailing P/E of 5.9**, well below the industry average of 16.8, and a **price‑to‑book of 0.54**, indicating significant undervaluation. The stock offers an attractive **5.1% dividend yield** with a modest 30% payout ratio, suggesting the dividend is sustainable. Technicals show a bullish alignment of the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (6.99 > 6.85 > 6.32) and the price sits just above the identified support at 6.78 HKD, though the MACD has turned bearish and volume is slipping.
With a low beta (~0.15) and modest 30‑day volatility (~18%), the equity exhibits limited price swings, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI 91.6) adds momentum to the upside potential. The consensus of 16 analysts rates the stock as a **strong buy**, and price targets around 8.2 HKD imply roughly 20% upside from current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near strong support at 6.78 HKD
  • Attractive dividend yield of 5.1%
  • Low beta and limited short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets ~8.2 HKD (~20% upside)
  • Undervalued valuation multiples vs peers
  • Robust operating and profit margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy
  • Strong balance sheet and capital base
  • Consistent earnings growth and high profitability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.40%
Profit Margin55.15%
P/E Ratio5.9
ROE8.89%
ROA0.70%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$-73994002432
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.3
SupportHK$6.78
ResistanceHK$7.32
MA 20HK$6.99
MA 50HK$6.85
MA 200HK$6.32
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Target PriceHK$8.24
Upside/Downside20.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.11%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.31
Volatility17.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.