13:HKEXIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
HK$6.85
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) trades at a **trailing P/E of 5.9**, well below the industry average of 16.8, and a **price‑to‑book of 0.54**, indicating significant undervaluation. The stock offers an attractive **5.1% dividend yield** with a modest 30% payout ratio, suggesting the dividend is sustainable. Technicals show a bullish alignment of the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (6.99 > 6.85 > 6.32) and the price sits just above the identified support at 6.78 HKD, though the MACD has turned bearish and volume is slipping.
With a low beta (~0.15) and modest 30‑day volatility (~18%), the equity exhibits limited price swings, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI 91.6) adds momentum to the upside potential. The consensus of 16 analysts rates the stock as a **strong buy**, and price targets around 8.2 HKD imply roughly 20% upside from current levels.
With a low beta (~0.15) and modest 30‑day volatility (~18%), the equity exhibits limited price swings, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI 91.6) adds momentum to the upside potential. The consensus of 16 analysts rates the stock as a **strong buy**, and price targets around 8.2 HKD imply roughly 20% upside from current levels.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near strong support at 6.78 HKD
- Attractive dividend yield of 5.1%
- Low beta and limited short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price targets ~8.2 HKD (~20% upside)
- Undervalued valuation multiples vs peers
- Robust operating and profit margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend policy
- Strong balance sheet and capital base
- Consistent earnings growth and high profitability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.40%
Profit Margin55.15%
P/E Ratio5.9
ROE8.89%
ROA0.70%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$-73994002432
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.3
SupportHK$6.78
ResistanceHK$7.32
MA 20HK$6.99
MA 50HK$6.85
MA 200HK$6.32
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Target PriceHK$8.24
Upside/Downside20.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.11%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility17.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.