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004370:KRXNongshim Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

₩369,500.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nongshim shares are trading at KRW 369,500, well below the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (KRW 416,675 / 416,380 / 419,665), indicating a pronounced short‑term weakness. The RSI of 30.3 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, reinforcing downside pressure. Despite this technical softness, the DCF‑derived fair value of KRW 603,444 implies a potential upside of roughly 38%, far exceeding the current price. Forward earnings multiple of 11.1× and a price‑to‑sales ratio of 0.64 further support a valuation case for the stock.
Fundamentally, Nongshim delivers modest revenue growth of 3.2% and maintains solid cash reserves (KRW 1.22 trn) against relatively low debt (KRW 176 bn), though the debt‑to‑equity ratio appears elevated. Profitability is thin, with a 4.8% net margin and ROE of 6.2%, but the company offers a 1.66% dividend yield. Market sentiment is bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 79.45 – “Extreme Greed”), and analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a mean target of KRW 508,238, suggesting upside continuity. Overall, the stock sits at a defensive consumer staple position, featuring low beta and high volatility, which frames a balanced risk‑reward profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near the identified support level of KRW 363,000
  • RSI in oversold region indicating potential short‑term bounce
  • Bearish MACD and high 30‑day volatility increasing downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation shows ~38% upside from current price
  • Strong cash position with net cash exceeding debt
  • Analyst consensus of “Buy” and median target price above current levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer‑staples sector with low systematic risk (beta ~0.2)
  • Sustainable dividend yield and consistent free cash flow generation
  • Long‑term upside potential and favorable forward PE relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin4.84%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE6.18%
ROA3.10%
Debt/Equity6.24
Op. Cash Flow₩268.7B
Free Cash Flow₩168.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.3
Support₩363,000.00
Resistance₩459,500.00
MA 20₩416,675.00
MA 50₩416,380.00
MA 200₩419,665.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair Value₩603,444.18
Target Price₩508,238.10
Upside/Downside37.55%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility38.43%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.