002311:SZSEGuangdong Haid Group Co., Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
CN¥55.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Guangdong Haid Group is trading at CNY 55.5, just above its calculated support of CNY 50.38 and below the 200‑day SMA of CNY 57.57, indicating a neutral price trend. Technical indicators show a bullish MACD (0.355 vs signal 0.229) and an RSI of 58.7, suggesting modest upside momentum without being overbought, while volume has been decreasing and beta is slightly negative (-0.14), implying low market correlation but higher 30‑day volatility at 29%. Fundamentally, the company posted CNY 125.8 bn of revenue with a 14.4% YoY growth, a solid ROE of 21%, and a healthy cash position (CNY 7.07 bn) versus modest debt (CNY 4.20 bn, D/E 15.8%). The dividend yield of 2.34% is backed by a 43% payout ratio, and free cash flow remains positive, supporting dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus projects a median target price of CNY 70.05, implying an upside of roughly 25% from current levels, while the DCF‑derived fair value aligns with this upside scenario. Overall, the stock appears undervalued relative to its growth prospects, strong cash generation, and defensive consumer‑defensive positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and supportive RSI
- Price near support with upside potential
- Strong dividend yield and sustainability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 14% and high ROE
- Upside of ~25% to analyst target price
- Low leverage and solid cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Defensive consumer sector with stable demand
- Sustainable dividend policy
- Exposure to regulatory and China‑specific risks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin3.99%
P/E Ratio18.4
ROE21.00%
ROA7.97%
Debt/Equity15.84
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥5.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥175.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.7
SupportCN¥50.38
ResistanceCN¥55.68
MA 20CN¥53.61
MA 50CN¥53.37
MA 200CN¥57.57
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥4.39
Target PriceCN¥69.73
Upside/Downside25.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.14
Volatility28.96%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.