002407:SZSEDo-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CN¥39.67
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Do-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. is trading at CNY 39.67, comfortably above its 20‑day (CNY 36.27), 50‑day (CNY 33.58) and 200‑day (CNY 28.18) moving averages, with a bullish MACD and an RSI of 64, indicating continued upward momentum. The stock benefits from a robust 53% YoY revenue growth and a strong market sentiment reflected by an “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index of 89.86, yet it is priced at a lofty PE of 90× and PB of 5.2×, suggesting it is significantly overvalued. Moreover, the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 88.6%, negative operating and free cash flow, and a 30‑day volatility of roughly 75%, all of which amplify financial and market risk.
Given the bullish technical setup but weak fundamentals, the near‑term outlook favors a cautious stance: the stock may capture short‑term upside while approaching resistance near CNY 43.9, but the long‑term trajectory is constrained by earnings decline, cash‑flow deficits, and an elevated valuation. Investors should weigh the growth prospects in the lithium‑ion battery material segment against the substantial debt load and sustainability concerns surrounding the modest 0.5% dividend yield.
Given the bullish technical setup but weak fundamentals, the near‑term outlook favors a cautious stance: the stock may capture short‑term upside while approaching resistance near CNY 43.9, but the long‑term trajectory is constrained by earnings decline, cash‑flow deficits, and an elevated valuation. Investors should weigh the growth prospects in the lithium‑ion battery material segment against the substantial debt load and sustainability concerns surrounding the modest 0.5% dividend yield.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMA20/50/200, MACD bullish)
- Extreme market greed sentiment
- High valuation (PE 90×) limiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Declining earnings (forward EPS 0.13 vs trailing 0.44)
- Negative operating and free cash flow
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio (~89%)
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth driven by lithium‑ion battery materials
- Persistent overvaluation and cash‑flow pressure
- Potential regulatory and environmental headwinds in chemicals sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth53.30%
Profit Margin4.96%
P/E Ratio90.2
ROE4.96%
ROA1.88%
Debt/Equity88.61
P/B Ratio5.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-278204448
Free Cash FlowCN¥-512749856
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI64.0
SupportCN¥31.56
ResistanceCN¥43.89
MA 20CN¥36.27
MA 50CN¥33.58
MA 200CN¥28.18
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥39.00
Upside/Downside-1.69%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.50%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.22
Volatility74.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.