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002407:SZSEDo-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

CN¥38.78

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Do‑Fluoride New Materials is trading well above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably higher than the 50‑day and 200‑day levels, confirming a bullish price structure. The MACD histogram remains positive and the RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, indicating continued upward momentum, while volume is on an upward trend.
However, the fundamentals tell a cautionary story: revenue is expanding rapidly but margins are thin, cash generation is negative, and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with debt far exceeding equity. The valuation metrics are extreme, with a trailing P/E in the high double‑digits and a price‑to‑book multiple well above the industry norm, while the dividend yield is modest and its sustainability is questionable given the cash‑flow shortfall. Investors should weigh the strong technical setup against the overvalued pricing, high leverage, and regulatory exposure inherent to the chemicals sector in China.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMA, positive MACD)
  • Extreme valuation multiples
  • Negative operating and free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth offset by thin margins
  • High debt load and leverage
  • Modest upside to analyst target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable dividend given cash‑flow weakness
  • Persistent overvaluation relative to earnings and book value
  • Elevated regulatory and environmental risk in the chemicals industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth53.30%
Profit Margin4.96%
P/E Ratio88.1
ROE4.96%
ROA1.88%
Debt/Equity88.61
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-278204448
Free Cash FlowCN¥-512749856

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.3
SupportCN¥31.56
ResistanceCN¥43.40
MA 20CN¥36.28
MA 50CN¥34.50
MA 200CN¥28.70
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥39.00
Upside/Downside0.57%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.26
Volatility71.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.