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002407:SZSEDo-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥28.66

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Do‑Fluoride New Materials is trading at CNY 28.66, comfortably above its computed support of 27.48 but still below the 20‑day SMA of 29.83, indicating a modest near‑term cushion. The RSI sits at 42.8, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above its signal, hinting at a slight bullish bias despite an overall neutral trend. Volatility remains elevated at over 46% for the past 30 days, and the beta is exceptionally low in the computed data, implying limited market‑wide systematic risk but high idiosyncratic swings. The forward PE of 220.5 and a price‑to‑book of 4.0 signal a heavily priced stock relative to earnings prospects, especially given a trailing EPS of –0.21 and a negative profit margin. Nonetheless, the company boasts a strong cash position of CNY 5.9 bn, albeit offset by a sizable debt load, and a dividend yield of 0.7% with a zero payout ratio, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The upside/downside estimate of +57% and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment from the fear‑greed index suggest market optimism, but the fundamentals—negative ROE, thin free cash flow, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio—temper that enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near support but below short‑term SMA
  • neutral RSI and modest bullish MACD histogram
  • high volatility may cause price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • overvalued valuation metrics (forward PE >200)
  • low profitability and negative earnings
  • potential growth in lithium‑ion battery materials

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strategic exposure to fast‑growing EV battery supply chain
  • strong cash reserves despite debt
  • upside potential indicated by upside/downside metric and extreme greed sentiment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin-3.07%
P/E Ratio220.5
ROE-3.93%
ROA-0.50%
Debt/Equity69.58
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥679.4M
Free Cash FlowCN¥51.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.8
SupportCN¥27.48
ResistanceCN¥32.50
MA 20CN¥29.83
MA 50CN¥30.91
MA 200CN¥22.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index81.48

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥45.00
Upside/Downside57.01%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility46.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.