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GIND:NASDAQGoldman Sachs India Equity ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-06 - not real-time

$22.17

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $22.17, marginally above the 20‑day SMA of 22.61 and well below the 50‑day (24.13) and 200‑day (25.98) averages, signaling a bearish price momentum. The 14‑day RSI sits at 39, hinting at modest oversold conditions, while the MACD line (-0.657) crossing above its signal (-0.704) produces a bullish histogram (+0.047) that could foreshadow a short‑term reversal. Volume is on an increasing trend, providing some support for price stability, and the nearest technical support sits at $21.43 with resistance near $23.88. However, the fund’s max drawdown of nearly 23% and 30‑day volatility of 25% underscore the underlying price turbulence. The Fear & Greed Index at 78.8 (“Extreme Greed”) suggests market participants are currently risk‑seeking, which may amplify price swings in this concentrated India equity exposure.
From a risk perspective, the ETF carries a high sector concentration risk due to its single‑country focus, while tracking error and currency risk remain low. Its beta of 0.43 indicates lower sensitivity to broader market moves, but the elevated expense ratio of 0.75% and modest asset base of $160 M raise liquidity concerns. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.75% is modestly higher than peers, further influencing total cost considerations. Given the bearish technical backdrop yet potential for a short‑term bounce, a cautious hold with a bias toward buying on dips is advisable for the next few weeks, while a more neutral stance is warranted over the medium horizon. Over the long run, India’s growth narrative supports a modest buy recommendation for investors willing to accept the concentration and volatility inherent in this vehicle.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish price momentum below key SMAs
  • Potential MACD bullish crossover
  • Increasing volume supporting short‑term stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Continued bearish trend relative to longer SMAs
  • High volatility and drawdown
  • Elevated sector concentration risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • India’s long‑term growth outlook
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide exposure
  • Potential for capital appreciation despite concentration

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$160.8M
Inception Date2025-04-01
Avg Daily Volume11,540
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.2
Support$21.43
Resistance$23.88
MA 20$22.61
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$25.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.43
Volatility24.98%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.