ZS:NASDAQ

Zscaler, Inc.

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$156.61

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zscaler’s stock is trading at $156.61, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $252.78, implying roughly 50% upside. The 20‑day SMA sits at 161.74 and the 50‑day at 190.29, with price under both, confirming a short‑term bearish positioning. RSI at 40.7 indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions. MACD shows a bullish histogram (+2.48) despite the overall bearish trend, hinting at potential momentum reversal. Volatility is elevated at 74.8% over 30 days and beta of 1.25, suggesting price swings will be pronounced. Fundamentals reveal 26% YoY revenue growth, a robust 76.6% gross margin, but operating and profit margins remain negative. Cash on hand ($3.51 bn) exceeds debt ($1.87 bn), giving the company a solid liquidity cushion.
Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with 46 covering the stock and a consensus “Buy” rating; recent upgrades from Bernstein and an Overweight call from Wells Fargo with a $200 price target reinforce optimism. The latest quarter delivered record revenue of $816 million, beating expectations and supporting the growth narrative. The forward PE of 34 is in line with the industry average of 36.85, while the price‑to‑book of 11.45 reflects a premium valuation but still below the DCF target. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors should not rely on yield. The stock sits near its identified support at $140.56 and well below the resistance at $179.90, offering a technical entry point. Given the combination of strong cash flow, expanding enterprise adoption, and a sizable valuation gap, the investment case leans toward a growth‑oriented buy. Investors should, however, be prepared for heightened price volatility in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support and below key moving averages
  • recent analyst upgrades and $200 target from Wells Fargo
  • bullish MACD histogram hinting at momentum shift

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 26% YoY revenue growth and strong gross margins
  • substantial cash cushion relative to debt
  • valuation gap of ~50% versus DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • secular demand for cloud security and Zero Trust solutions
  • record Q2 revenue and expanding enterprise adoption
  • undervalued position relative to long‑term fair value estimate

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.90%
Profit Margin-2.25%
P/E Ratio34.1
ROE-3.56%
ROA-1.41%
Debt/Equity85.00
P/B Ratio11.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.1B
Free Cash Flow$1.0B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.7
Support$140.56
Resistance$179.90
MA 20$161.74
MA 50$190.29
MA 200$262.72
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$252.78
Target Price$234.79
Upside/Downside49.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.25
Volatility74.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.