YKBNK:BISTYAPI VE KREDI BANKASI FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time
TRY 35.60
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At TRY 35.60, Yapi ve Kredi Bankasi A.S. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.7%. Relative strength is 49.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at TRY 33.00 and resistance at TRY 38.02.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 34.0%, a beta of -0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 29.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 34.0%, a beta of -0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 29.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Bank delivers robust first-half performance with strong fee growth and margin expansion, while navigating asset quality...YAPI VE KREDİ BANKASI YKBNK , 22 Temmuz Çarşamba 2026 için hazırlanan analizde, 21 Temmuz Salı 2026 kapanış...YAPI VE KREDİ BANKASI YKBNK , 02 Temmuz Perşembe 2026 için hazırlanan analizde, 01 Temmuz Çarşamba 2026 kapanış...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 36.82
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +6.7%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 36.82
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +6.7%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 29.6%
- 30-day volatility of 34.0%
- Beta of -0.08 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price35.6
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.4
SupportTRY 33.00
ResistanceTRY 38.02
MA 20TRY 35.76
MA 50TRY 35.41
MA 200TRY 36.82
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index96.09
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.08
Volatility33.95%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.