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XIFR:NYSEXPLR Infrastructure, LP Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$11.73

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

XPLR Infrastructure, LP is trading at $11.73, comfortably above its 20‑day ($10.42), 50‑day ($10.37) and 200‑day ($10.02) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The momentum indicators reinforce this view – the MACD line sits above its signal line and the histogram is positive, while the RSI is elevated at 72.9, indicating the stock is technically overbought. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, supporting the price advance toward the identified resistance at $12.40.
On the valuation side, the stock appears cheap relative to peers, with a trailing P/E of 9.6 versus an industry average of 21.7 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.35 against a book value of $33.94 per share. However, the fundamentals are mixed: revenue has contracted 15% year‑over‑year, operating margins are negative (‑19.7%), and free cash flow is slightly negative despite a sizable EBITDA of $705 M. The balance sheet is strained, reflected by a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 57.4 and a beta of 1.23, while the 30‑day volatility of 30.5% and a max drawdown of ‑20.5% underscore heightened risk, even as the DCF‑derived fair value of $16.90 suggests only modest upside (~2%).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI overbought level suggests limited upside in the near term
  • Price approaching key resistance at $12.40
  • Elevated volatility and beta increase short‑term risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive price‑to‑book and low P/E relative to industry
  • High debt load and negative operating margins constrain earnings growth
  • Renewable utilities sector tailwinds provide a stabilizing backdrop

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for clean‑energy assets supports revenue potential
  • Persistent leverage and modest free cash flow raise sustainability concerns
  • Regulatory environment for renewable infrastructure remains uncertain

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-15.30%
Profit Margin-2.36%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE-3.36%
ROA0.18%
Debt/Equity57.36
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$739.0M
Free Cash Flow$-8875000
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.9
Support$9.85
Resistance$12.40
MA 20$10.42
MA 50$10.37
MA 200$10.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$16.90
Target Price$11.98
Upside/Downside2.15%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility30.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.