XIFR:NYSEXPLR Infrastructure, LP Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$11.73
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
XPLR Infrastructure, LP is trading at $11.73, comfortably above its 20‑day ($10.42), 50‑day ($10.37) and 200‑day ($10.02) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The momentum indicators reinforce this view – the MACD line sits above its signal line and the histogram is positive, while the RSI is elevated at 72.9, indicating the stock is technically overbought. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, supporting the price advance toward the identified resistance at $12.40.
On the valuation side, the stock appears cheap relative to peers, with a trailing P/E of 9.6 versus an industry average of 21.7 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.35 against a book value of $33.94 per share. However, the fundamentals are mixed: revenue has contracted 15% year‑over‑year, operating margins are negative (‑19.7%), and free cash flow is slightly negative despite a sizable EBITDA of $705 M. The balance sheet is strained, reflected by a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 57.4 and a beta of 1.23, while the 30‑day volatility of 30.5% and a max drawdown of ‑20.5% underscore heightened risk, even as the DCF‑derived fair value of $16.90 suggests only modest upside (~2%).
On the valuation side, the stock appears cheap relative to peers, with a trailing P/E of 9.6 versus an industry average of 21.7 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.35 against a book value of $33.94 per share. However, the fundamentals are mixed: revenue has contracted 15% year‑over‑year, operating margins are negative (‑19.7%), and free cash flow is slightly negative despite a sizable EBITDA of $705 M. The balance sheet is strained, reflected by a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 57.4 and a beta of 1.23, while the 30‑day volatility of 30.5% and a max drawdown of ‑20.5% underscore heightened risk, even as the DCF‑derived fair value of $16.90 suggests only modest upside (~2%).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI overbought level suggests limited upside in the near term
- Price approaching key resistance at $12.40
- Elevated volatility and beta increase short‑term risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Attractive price‑to‑book and low P/E relative to industry
- High debt load and negative operating margins constrain earnings growth
- Renewable utilities sector tailwinds provide a stabilizing backdrop
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for clean‑energy assets supports revenue potential
- Persistent leverage and modest free cash flow raise sustainability concerns
- Regulatory environment for renewable infrastructure remains uncertain
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-15.30%
Profit Margin-2.36%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE-3.36%
ROA0.18%
Debt/Equity57.36
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$739.0M
Free Cash Flow$-8875000
Industry P/E21.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI72.9
Support$9.85
Resistance$12.40
MA 20$10.42
MA 50$10.37
MA 200$10.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$16.90
Target Price$11.98
Upside/Downside2.15%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.23
Volatility30.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.