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WVVIP:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. - Series A Redeemable Preferred Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$2.89

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Willamette Valley Vineyards trades around $2.89, sitting above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs but slightly below the 200‑day SMA, indicating a modest upside bias. The RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram suggest momentum is still positive, while volume is on an upward trend, supporting the technical case for a short‑term hold or modest buy.
However, the fundamentals tell a different story: despite a 9.5% revenue growth and a solid 60% gross margin, the company posts negative operating (‑8.2%) and profit margins (‑2%), a ROE of –1.1%, and carries $29.5 M of debt against just $0.4 M of cash, giving a debt‑to‑equity of 43.5. The 7.6% dividend yield looks attractive but the payout ratio is effectively zero, raising concerns about sustainability. High 30‑day volatility (≈38%) and a recent 30% drawdown add further downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • Price above short‑term SMAs
  • Support level near $2.58 offering downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Negative operating margins and earnings
  • High debt load relative to cash
  • Dividend yield likely unsustainable

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Continued earnings erosion risk
  • Exposure to volatile consumer discretionary spending on premium wines
  • Elevated volatility and liquidity constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin-1.99%
P/E Ratio21.4
ROE-1.11%
ROA-0.73%
Debt/Equity43.51
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$342.0K
Free Cash Flow$614.3K

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.2
Support$2.58
Resistance$2.97
MA 20$2.79
MA 50$2.65
MA 200$2.96
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.12
Volatility38.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.