WVVIP:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. - Series A Redeemable Preferred Stock Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
$2.89
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Willamette Valley Vineyards trades around $2.89, sitting above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs but slightly below the 200‑day SMA, indicating a modest upside bias. The RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram suggest momentum is still positive, while volume is on an upward trend, supporting the technical case for a short‑term hold or modest buy.
However, the fundamentals tell a different story: despite a 9.5% revenue growth and a solid 60% gross margin, the company posts negative operating (‑8.2%) and profit margins (‑2%), a ROE of –1.1%, and carries $29.5 M of debt against just $0.4 M of cash, giving a debt‑to‑equity of 43.5. The 7.6% dividend yield looks attractive but the payout ratio is effectively zero, raising concerns about sustainability. High 30‑day volatility (≈38%) and a recent 30% drawdown add further downside risk.
However, the fundamentals tell a different story: despite a 9.5% revenue growth and a solid 60% gross margin, the company posts negative operating (‑8.2%) and profit margins (‑2%), a ROE of –1.1%, and carries $29.5 M of debt against just $0.4 M of cash, giving a debt‑to‑equity of 43.5. The 7.6% dividend yield looks attractive but the payout ratio is effectively zero, raising concerns about sustainability. High 30‑day volatility (≈38%) and a recent 30% drawdown add further downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and rising volume
- Price above short‑term SMAs
- Support level near $2.58 offering downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Negative operating margins and earnings
- High debt load relative to cash
- Dividend yield likely unsustainable
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Continued earnings erosion risk
- Exposure to volatile consumer discretionary spending on premium wines
- Elevated volatility and liquidity constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin-1.99%
P/E Ratio21.4
ROE-1.11%
ROA-0.73%
Debt/Equity43.51
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$342.0K
Free Cash Flow$614.3K
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.2
Support$2.58
Resistance$2.97
MA 20$2.79
MA 50$2.65
MA 200$2.96
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.12
Volatility38.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.