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WVVIP:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. - Series A Redeemable Preferred Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$2.80

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Willamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. is trading at $2.80, below its 20‑day SMA of 2.85 and well under the 50‑day (2.94) and 200‑day (3.12) averages, signaling a bearish price environment. The RSI sits at 43, indicating neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions, while the MACD histogram is marginally positive, giving a faint bullish signal that is outweighed by the overall downtrend. Volume is increasing, but volatility remains high at 26.6% over the past 30 days, and the stock has endured a recent max drawdown of ‑21.4%. Fundamentals are weak: revenue is slipping (‑1.5% YoY), profit margin is negative (‑2.5%), and operating cash flow is negative, yet the company boasts an eye‑catching dividend yield of 7.86% that appears unsustainable given a zero payout ratio and negative earnings. The balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 46 and cash of only $0.41 M against $30.4 M of debt.
Recent announcements of organizational changes to its distribution and sales strategy aim to bolster East‑coast coverage, which could improve top‑line momentum if execution succeeds. However, the combination of high leverage, weak cash generation, and a defensive consumer‑defensive sector suggests that upside potential is limited in the near term, and investors should remain cautious.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • High short‑term volatility and recent drawdown
  • Unsustainable dividend despite high yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Organizational changes to distribution may improve sales
  • Elevated debt load limits flexibility
  • Negative operating cash flow persists

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer sector and low beta reduce market‑wide risk
  • Low price‑to‑book ratio offers value upside if turnaround occurs
  • Continued financial weakness could cap upside potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin-2.47%
P/E Ratio20.7
ROE-1.35%
ROA-0.83%
Debt/Equity45.96
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-1790239
Free Cash Flow$541.4K

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.5
Support$2.75
Resistance$2.98
MA 20$2.85
MA 50$2.94
MA 200$3.12
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.12
Volatility26.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.