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WVVI:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$2.94

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI) trades at $2.94, hugging the near‑term resistance of $2.96 while sitting above its 20‑day SMA ($2.755) but below the 200‑day SMA ($3.269), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. Momentum is modestly positive – RSI sits at 58 and the MACD histogram is bullish – yet volume is trending down, pointing to waning buying interest. The stock is cheap on a value basis (PB 0.64, price‑to‑sales 0.39) but fundamentals are weak: negative EPS (-$0.64), a profit margin of -2.5%, high debt‑to‑equity (≈46%) and negative ROE. Volatility is elevated at 70% over the past 30 days and beta is slightly negative, suggesting limited correlation with market moves. The recent announcement of organizational changes to its distribution and sales strategy could be a catalyst, but the company’s cash burn and debt load remain key concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with decreasing volume
  • Negative earnings and high debt load
  • Technical indicators showing limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Organizational changes to distribution could improve sales
  • Valuation metrics (PB, P/S) remain attractive
  • Continued cash flow deficits and volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental turnaround required to offset debt
  • Potential for niche market growth in premium wines
  • Persistent low liquidity and earnings volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin-2.47%
ROE-1.35%
ROA-0.83%
Debt/Equity45.96
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-1790239
Free Cash Flow$541.4K

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.8
Support$2.55
Resistance$2.96
MA 20$2.76
MA 50$2.68
MA 200$3.27
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.25
Volatility70.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.