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WVVI:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$2.72

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Willamette Valley Vineyards is trading at $2.72, just above the computed support level of $2.59 and well below the 30‑day resistance of $2.89, indicating limited upside in the near term. Technical indicators are bearish: the MACD line sits below its signal, the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs are flat and below the 200‑day SMA, and the RSI hovers around 50, showing no momentum. Volume is increasing despite a 30‑day volatility of over 60%, suggesting heightened trading activity but also price instability.
Fundamentally, the company posts a 9.5% revenue growth and a healthy 60% gross margin, yet operating margins are negative and earnings per share remain in the red. The balance sheet is strained, with $29.5 million of debt versus only $0.4 million of cash, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 40. The stock trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.59 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.36, implying a deep discount to intrinsic book value, but the lack of dividend and negative earnings raise sustainability concerns. The recent appointment of a seasoned CFO could be a catalyst for improved financial discipline, though the upside is tempered by high volatility, negative beta, and a historic max drawdown of over 56%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below 200‑day SMA
  • Proximity to technical support with high volatility
  • Negative earnings and heavy debt load

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth and strong gross margin
  • New CFO may improve financial management
  • Continued debt servicing pressure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Deep discount to book and sales valuations
  • Potential turnaround in operating profitability
  • Consumer defensive positioning in the wine market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin-1.99%
ROE-1.11%
ROA-0.73%
Debt/Equity43.51
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$342.0K
Free Cash Flow$593.3K

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.7
Support$2.59
Resistance$2.89
MA 20$2.73
MA 50$2.73
MA 200$3.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.34
Volatility62.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.