WVVI:NASDAQWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$2.72
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Willamette Valley Vineyards is trading at $2.72, just above the computed support level of $2.59 and well below the 30‑day resistance of $2.89, indicating limited upside in the near term. Technical indicators are bearish: the MACD line sits below its signal, the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs are flat and below the 200‑day SMA, and the RSI hovers around 50, showing no momentum. Volume is increasing despite a 30‑day volatility of over 60%, suggesting heightened trading activity but also price instability.
Fundamentally, the company posts a 9.5% revenue growth and a healthy 60% gross margin, yet operating margins are negative and earnings per share remain in the red. The balance sheet is strained, with $29.5 million of debt versus only $0.4 million of cash, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 40. The stock trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.59 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.36, implying a deep discount to intrinsic book value, but the lack of dividend and negative earnings raise sustainability concerns. The recent appointment of a seasoned CFO could be a catalyst for improved financial discipline, though the upside is tempered by high volatility, negative beta, and a historic max drawdown of over 56%.
Fundamentally, the company posts a 9.5% revenue growth and a healthy 60% gross margin, yet operating margins are negative and earnings per share remain in the red. The balance sheet is strained, with $29.5 million of debt versus only $0.4 million of cash, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 40. The stock trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.59 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.36, implying a deep discount to intrinsic book value, but the lack of dividend and negative earnings raise sustainability concerns. The recent appointment of a seasoned CFO could be a catalyst for improved financial discipline, though the upside is tempered by high volatility, negative beta, and a historic max drawdown of over 56%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 200‑day SMA
- Proximity to technical support with high volatility
- Negative earnings and heavy debt load
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth and strong gross margin
- New CFO may improve financial management
- Continued debt servicing pressure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Deep discount to book and sales valuations
- Potential turnaround in operating profitability
- Consumer defensive positioning in the wine market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin-1.99%
ROE-1.11%
ROA-0.73%
Debt/Equity43.51
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$342.0K
Free Cash Flow$593.3K
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.7
Support$2.59
Resistance$2.89
MA 20$2.73
MA 50$2.73
MA 200$3.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.34
Volatility62.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
ZIONP
Zions Bancorporation N.A. - Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th ownership interest in a share of Series A Floating-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer
STOCKZION
Zions Bancorporation N.A.
STOCKYOU
Clear Secure, Inc.
STOCKABCL
AbCellera Biologics Inc.
STOCKWETH
Wetouch Technology Inc.
STOCKSOPA
Society Pass Incorporated
STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.