WTI:NYSEW&T Offshore, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$3.59
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
W&T Offshore is trading at $3.59, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of $2.80 and just below the 20‑day SMA of $3.48, indicating a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish technical stance. MACD has turned bullish with a positive histogram, while the RSI sits at 52, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. The stock is poised near a support level of $3.03 and faces resistance around $3.98, offering a limited upside of roughly 10‑15% in the short run, especially with the Q2 earnings release scheduled for August 5‑6 that could catalyze price movement.
Fundamentally, the company posted $521 M in revenue with a 15.5% growth rate and a healthy 38% gross margin, yet it remains loss‑making with a –27% profit margin. Positive EBITDA of $114 M, strong free cash flow of $123 M, and a modest dividend yield of 1.11% (payout ratio ~9%) point to improving cash generation. Analysts are bullish, rating the stock a “strong buy” with a median price target of $4.25, implying ~18% upside, while a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a far higher intrinsic value, underscoring the stock’s current undervaluation.
Fundamentally, the company posted $521 M in revenue with a 15.5% growth rate and a healthy 38% gross margin, yet it remains loss‑making with a –27% profit margin. Positive EBITDA of $114 M, strong free cash flow of $123 M, and a modest dividend yield of 1.11% (payout ratio ~9%) point to improving cash generation. Analysts are bullish, rating the stock a “strong buy” with a median price target of $4.25, implying ~18% upside, while a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a far higher intrinsic value, underscoring the stock’s current undervaluation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover with positive histogram
- Price positioned near support with clear resistance ceiling
- Upcoming Q2 earnings release could validate momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 15.5% and solid gross margin
- Improving EPS outlook and positive EBITDA
- Dividend yield of 1.11% with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates substantial upside but high uncertainty
- Negative book value and equity raise balance‑sheet concerns
- Energy sector cyclicality and commodity price exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.50%
Profit Margin-27.23%
P/E Ratio-23.9
ROA-1.88%
P/B Ratio-2.4
Op. Cash Flow$83.0M
Free Cash Flow$123.4M
Industry P/E22.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.3
Support$3.03
Resistance$3.98
MA 20$3.48
MA 50$3.60
MA 200$2.80
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair Value$18.69
Target Price$4.48
Upside/Downside24.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.11%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.90
Volatility72.19%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.