WFG:NYSEWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$67.85
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. is priced at $67.85 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Momentum indicators put RSI at 47.5 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch $66.06 as support and $72.47 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 27.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 25.0% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 6.4% on a -23.0% profit margin. The 1.89% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 40.7%, a beta of 0.71 and a maximum drawdown of 24.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 27.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 25.0% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 6.4% on a -23.0% profit margin. The 1.89% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 40.7%, a beta of 0.71 and a maximum drawdown of 24.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Top Market Events
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. "West Fraser" or the "Company" TSX and NYSE: WFG will hold an analysts' conference call to...VANCOUVER, BC, July 29, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- West Fraser Timber Co.West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd WFG reports $50 million adjusted EBITDA and cuts net debt by $140 million, while navigating...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 65.75
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 1.89% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 65.75
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 1.89% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -23.0%
- Analyst targets imply +25.0% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.40%
Profit Margin-22.98%
P/E Ratio27.8
ROE-19.32%
ROA-6.08%
Debt/Equity7.03
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-92000000
Free Cash Flow$-423500000
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.5
Support$66.06
Resistance$72.47
MA 20$69.54
MA 50$68.41
MA 200$65.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.34
Valuation
Target Price$84.83
Upside/Downside25.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.89%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.71
Volatility40.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.