WGO:NYSEWinnebago Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time
$31.75
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Winnebago posted a 6% revenue increase and a striking 42% rise in adjusted EPS, driven by robust motorhome sales and a $100 million debt redemption that improves its balance sheet. The company continues to pay a 4.41% dividend, but a payout ratio of roughly 94% raises questions about cash sustainability.
Technically, the stock trades at $31.75, well below its 20‑day ($32.37) and 50‑day ($33.34) SMAs, with a bearish trend, RSI at 44.5 and a MACD histogram that has just turned positive yet remains in a broader downtrend. Volatility is elevated (~38% 30‑day) and beta exceeds 1.1, suggesting heightened sensitivity to market moves.
Technically, the stock trades at $31.75, well below its 20‑day ($32.37) and 50‑day ($33.34) SMAs, with a bearish trend, RSI at 44.5 and a MACD histogram that has just turned positive yet remains in a broader downtrend. Volatility is elevated (~38% 30‑day) and beta exceeds 1.1, suggesting heightened sensitivity to market moves.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish price trend relative to moving averages
- Price hovering near support at $30.10
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value of $50.08 implies ~38% upside
- Strong EPS growth and motorhome sales momentum
- Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term upside potential from undervaluation
- Diversified RV and marine product portfolio
- Strategic debt reduction improving balance‑sheet health
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.00%
Profit Margin1.43%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE3.39%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity38.72
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$156.7M
Free Cash Flow$107.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.6
Support$30.10
Resistance$35.33
MA 20$32.37
MA 50$33.34
MA 200$36.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$50.08
Target Price$43.83
Upside/Downside38.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.41%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.17
Volatility38.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.