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WEYS:NASDAQWeyco Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$33.98

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Weyco’s stock is trading around $34, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 33.8 and the 50‑day SMA of 33.1, signaling a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a decreasing volume trend. The price sits near the identified support level of 31.45 and below the 52‑week high resistance of 35.18, offering a modest upside cushion. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 13.7 and a price‑to‑book of 1.33, while the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value near $69, indicating the stock is significantly undervalued. The dividend yield of 3.2% with a payout ratio under 45% adds income appeal, and the company’s cash position of roughly $90 M dwarfs its modest debt load. Recent earnings commentary highlighted flat revenue but improved margins, lower operating costs, and a $2‑$3 M capex plan aimed at expanding e‑commerce and mitigating tariff pressures. Collectively, the technical setup, strong balance sheet, attractive yield, and upside valuation gap make Weyco a compelling candidate for investors seeking both income and growth potential.
The consumer‑cyclical footwear sector remains moderately sensitive to discretionary spending, yet Weyco’s diversified brand portfolio and international distribution mitigate sector‑specific headwinds. Management’s focus on inventory optimization and brand‑centric e‑commerce initiatives has already delivered earnings beat‑ups, and the company’s historical outperformance versus peers underscores its competitive moat. With a beta near 0.86 and 30‑day volatility around 32.5%, price swings are expected but manageable for disciplined investors. The combination of a solid dividend, strong cash generation, and a valuation gap suggests the stock is well‑positioned for medium‑ to long‑term appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bullish SMA alignment
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest caution
  • Attractive dividend yield provides downside buffer

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Strong cash generation and low leverage
  • E‑commerce expansion and recent earnings beat

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend income with healthy payout ratio
  • Long‑term upside potential from valuation gap
  • Resilient brand portfolio and international distribution

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin8.57%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE9.61%
ROA6.20%
Debt/Equity4.02
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$50.6M
Free Cash Flow$43.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.0
Support$31.45
Resistance$35.18
MA 20$33.80
MA 50$33.12
MA 200$31.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$69.19
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility32.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.