WES:NYSEWestern Midstream Partners, LP Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time
$43.49
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Western Midstream Partners (WES) is trading at $43.49, comfortably above its 20‑day ($41.59), 50‑day ($41.48) and 200‑day ($39.94) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The 14‑day RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.20) further confirm upward momentum, while volume is on an increasing trajectory. Despite this momentum, the 30‑day volatility of roughly 26% and a modest beta of 0.23 indicate that price swings can be pronounced even though market‑wide moves have limited impact. The Fear & Greed Index sits at “Extreme Greed,” suggesting that market sentiment may be overly optimistic. Valuation metrics show a forward P/E of 11.7 versus the industry average of 20.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $60 and the modest -3% upside/downside figure point to a price that is at best fairly valued. The current dividend yield of 8.55% is attractive, but a payout ratio of 120% raises sustainability concerns.
On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 22.5% year‑over‑year to $1.12 billion in Q1, and operating margins remain robust at 40%, reflecting the company’s high‑margin midstream business. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $683 million, and EPS improved to $0.85, beating consensus expectations. The partnership announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.93 per unit, a modest 2.2% increase, reinforcing its cash‑return policy despite the high payout. However, total debt of $8.64 billion versus cash of $0.65 billion results in a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 240, highlighting significant leverage risk. The recent $1.6 billion acquisition of Brazos Delaware II expands the Permian footprint, providing a clear growth catalyst. Analyst sentiment turned more positive, with Stifel upgrading its outlook to “Buy” and setting a one‑year price target near $42.8, just below the current market price.
On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 22.5% year‑over‑year to $1.12 billion in Q1, and operating margins remain robust at 40%, reflecting the company’s high‑margin midstream business. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $683 million, and EPS improved to $0.85, beating consensus expectations. The partnership announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.93 per unit, a modest 2.2% increase, reinforcing its cash‑return policy despite the high payout. However, total debt of $8.64 billion versus cash of $0.65 billion results in a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 240, highlighting significant leverage risk. The recent $1.6 billion acquisition of Brazos Delaware II expands the Permian footprint, providing a clear growth catalyst. Analyst sentiment turned more positive, with Stifel upgrading its outlook to “Buy” and setting a one‑year price target near $42.8, just below the current market price.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- High dividend yield but payout ratio >100%
- Elevated short‑term volatility and extreme greed sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and record Adjusted EBITDA
- Strategic Permian acquisition expanding asset base
- Analyst upgrade to Buy and favorable forward P/E
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash flow from midstream operations
- High leverage that could constrain future dividend sustainability
- Long‑term exposure to energy sector regulatory and commodity dynamics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.50%
Profit Margin29.51%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE36.69%
ROA7.34%
Debt/Equity246.36
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$952.2M
Industry P/E20.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support$39.90
Resistance$44.39
MA 20$41.59
MA 50$41.48
MA 200$39.94
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$60.00
Target Price$42.17
Upside/Downside-3.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility25.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.