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WES:NYSEWestern Midstream Partners, LP Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$43.49

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Western Midstream Partners (WES) is trading at $43.49, comfortably above its 20‑day ($41.59), 50‑day ($41.48) and 200‑day ($39.94) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish trend. The 14‑day RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.20) further confirm upward momentum, while volume is on an increasing trajectory. Despite this momentum, the 30‑day volatility of roughly 26% and a modest beta of 0.23 indicate that price swings can be pronounced even though market‑wide moves have limited impact. The Fear & Greed Index sits at “Extreme Greed,” suggesting that market sentiment may be overly optimistic. Valuation metrics show a forward P/E of 11.7 versus the industry average of 20.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $60 and the modest -3% upside/downside figure point to a price that is at best fairly valued. The current dividend yield of 8.55% is attractive, but a payout ratio of 120% raises sustainability concerns.
On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 22.5% year‑over‑year to $1.12 billion in Q1, and operating margins remain robust at 40%, reflecting the company’s high‑margin midstream business. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $683 million, and EPS improved to $0.85, beating consensus expectations. The partnership announced a quarterly cash distribution of $0.93 per unit, a modest 2.2% increase, reinforcing its cash‑return policy despite the high payout. However, total debt of $8.64 billion versus cash of $0.65 billion results in a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 240, highlighting significant leverage risk. The recent $1.6 billion acquisition of Brazos Delaware II expands the Permian footprint, providing a clear growth catalyst. Analyst sentiment turned more positive, with Stifel upgrading its outlook to “Buy” and setting a one‑year price target near $42.8, just below the current market price.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • High dividend yield but payout ratio >100%
  • Elevated short‑term volatility and extreme greed sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and record Adjusted EBITDA
  • Strategic Permian acquisition expanding asset base
  • Analyst upgrade to Buy and favorable forward P/E

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow from midstream operations
  • High leverage that could constrain future dividend sustainability
  • Long‑term exposure to energy sector regulatory and commodity dynamics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.50%
Profit Margin29.51%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE36.69%
ROA7.34%
Debt/Equity246.36
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$952.2M
Industry P/E20.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support$39.90
Resistance$44.39
MA 20$41.59
MA 50$41.48
MA 200$39.94
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$60.00
Target Price$42.17
Upside/Downside-3.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility25.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.