WERN:NASDAQWerner Enterprises, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
$40.95
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Werner Enterprises is trading above its short‑term moving average, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, confirming a bullish price structure despite a recent dip toward the nearest support zone. The RSI hovers around the neutral midpoint, while the MACD has turned bearish, generating a modest divergence that suggests short‑term pressure may resume. Volume remains stable, providing adequate liquidity for current price action, but the 30‑day volatility remains elevated, reflecting the cyclical nature of the trucking sector.
Fundamentally, the company faces challenges: earnings are negative, profit margins are thin, and free cash flow is in the red, all while carrying a high debt load and a dividend payout that exceeds earnings. The forward valuation metrics appear attractive relative to industry peers, yet the discounted cash‑flow model places the fair value modestly below the market price, indicating limited upside. Recent accolades for its green fleet and supply‑chain security reinforce a positive narrative around operational differentiation, but the sustainability of the dividend and the balance‑sheet strain temper enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, the company faces challenges: earnings are negative, profit margins are thin, and free cash flow is in the red, all while carrying a high debt load and a dividend payout that exceeds earnings. The forward valuation metrics appear attractive relative to industry peers, yet the discounted cash‑flow model places the fair value modestly below the market price, indicating limited upside. Recent accolades for its green fleet and supply‑chain security reinforce a positive narrative around operational differentiation, but the sustainability of the dividend and the balance‑sheet strain temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near recent support with bearish MACD momentum
- Stable volume but high short‑term volatility
- Negative earnings and cash‑flow constraints
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth and green‑fleet recognition supporting demand
- Elevated debt levels and thin operating margins
- Valuation still above DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable dividend payout and ongoing earnings losses
- High leverage and exposure to cyclical freight rates
- Limited upside relative to fair‑value estimates
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin-0.28%
P/E Ratio20.7
ROE-1.21%
ROA1.56%
Debt/Equity75.55
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$235.9M
Free Cash Flow$-13676500
Industry P/E31.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.2
Support$39.30
Resistance$45.27
MA 20$42.25
MA 50$37.90
MA 200$31.69
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.63
Valuation
Fair Value$47.60
Target Price$38.79
Upside/Downside-5.27%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.38%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.10
Volatility40.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.