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WDS:NYSEWoodside Energy Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$23.07

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is trading at $23.07, comfortably above its 20‑day ($22.26) and 50‑day ($22.81) SMAs and well above the 200‑day SMA ($18.78), signaling a short‑term bullish bias. The MACD line sits above its signal line, the histogram is positive, and the RSI at 57.6 suggests room for further upside without being overbought; volume is increasing while the 30‑day volatility is high at 34.8%, and beta is essentially neutral at –0.04, indicating limited market‑wide risk.
Fundamentally, WDS trades at a forward‑looking PE of 16.2 versus an industry average of 21.5, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $30.95 implies a substantial discount. The dividend yield of 4.85% is attractive but the payout ratio of 74.6% coupled with negative free cash flow raises sustainability concerns. Recent material news highlights a bullish analyst thesis projecting a 55% upside to $33.73 by 2030 and reports that Exxon is evaluating a potential bid, both of which could act as catalysts for price appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • Increasing volume and supportive technical momentum
  • Potential short‑term catalyst from Exxon bid rumors

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
  • High dividend yield relative to peers
  • Analyst projections of 55% price appreciation by 2030

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to energy transition and regulatory headwinds
  • Elevated debt levels and negative free cash flow
  • Sustainable dividend concerns despite attractive yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.10%
Profit Margin20.93%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE7.20%
ROA2.60%
Debt/Equity34.44
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$7.2B
Free Cash Flow$-314375008
Industry P/E21.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.6
Support$21.33
Resistance$24.71
MA 20$22.26
MA 50$22.81
MA 200$18.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$30.95
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.04
Volatility34.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.