WDH:NYSEWaterdrop Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$1.12
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Revenue is exploding – total revenue jumped 64.8% YoY to ¥1.24 bn, driven by a 74.1% surge in insurance‑related income. At the same time the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 5.1, far below the industry average of 18, and a price‑to‑book of 0.54, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The dividend yield sits at a lofty 5.36% with a modest payout ratio of 24%, and the company holds roughly $0.90 bn in cash against $0.30 bn of debt, though leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 5.6).
Technically, the shares are perched just above the calculated support of $1.101 and below the 20‑day SMA (1.169), with a bearish trend direction and an RSI of 35 indicating oversold conditions. MACD shows a nascent bullish crossover (histogram +0.005) while volatility remains elevated at ~40% over the past 30 days, and the max drawdown historically approaches 45%, underscoring downside risk.
Technically, the shares are perched just above the calculated support of $1.101 and below the 20‑day SMA (1.169), with a bearish trend direction and an RSI of 35 indicating oversold conditions. MACD shows a nascent bullish crossover (histogram +0.005) while volatility remains elevated at ~40% over the past 30 days, and the max drawdown historically approaches 45%, underscoring downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with bearish trend
- RSI indicating oversold condition
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust 64.8% YoY revenue growth
- Significant valuation discount vs peers
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained upside potential from insurance and health‑tech platforms
- Undervalued fundamentals despite high leverage
- Long‑term dividend income stream
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth64.80%
Profit Margin12.52%
P/E Ratio5.1
ROE11.01%
ROA3.29%
Debt/Equity5.65
P/B Ratio0.5
Industry P/E18.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.1
Support$1.10
Resistance$1.32
MA 20$1.17
MA 50$1.28
MA 200$1.62
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Target Price$1.96
Upside/Downside74.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.36%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.93
Volatility39.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.