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WDH:NYSEWaterdrop Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$1.12

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Revenue is exploding – total revenue jumped 64.8% YoY to ¥1.24 bn, driven by a 74.1% surge in insurance‑related income. At the same time the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 5.1, far below the industry average of 18, and a price‑to‑book of 0.54, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The dividend yield sits at a lofty 5.36% with a modest payout ratio of 24%, and the company holds roughly $0.90 bn in cash against $0.30 bn of debt, though leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 5.6).
Technically, the shares are perched just above the calculated support of $1.101 and below the 20‑day SMA (1.169), with a bearish trend direction and an RSI of 35 indicating oversold conditions. MACD shows a nascent bullish crossover (histogram +0.005) while volatility remains elevated at ~40% over the past 30 days, and the max drawdown historically approaches 45%, underscoring downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bearish trend
  • RSI indicating oversold condition
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust 64.8% YoY revenue growth
  • Significant valuation discount vs peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained upside potential from insurance and health‑tech platforms
  • Undervalued fundamentals despite high leverage
  • Long‑term dividend income stream

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth64.80%
Profit Margin12.52%
P/E Ratio5.1
ROE11.01%
ROA3.29%
Debt/Equity5.65
P/B Ratio0.5
Industry P/E18.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.1
Support$1.10
Resistance$1.32
MA 20$1.17
MA 50$1.28
MA 200$1.62
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Target Price$1.96
Upside/Downside74.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.93
Volatility39.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.