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WDFC:NASDAQWD-40 Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$208.05

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

WD-40 reported a 10.7% year‑over‑year increase in sales to $161.7 million and beat GAAP earnings expectations by 5.3%, but its full‑year revenue guidance sits slightly below analyst consensus. The stock is trading at $208.05, which is below the 20‑day SMA of 212.7 and the 50‑day SMA of 217.6, while the 200‑day SMA sits at 211.2, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish technical stance. The RSI of 43.6 suggests the shares are not yet oversold, yet the MACD histogram remains negative and the volume trend is decreasing, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure. Volatility is elevated at 32.5% over the past 30 days, but beta is very low (≈0.19), implying limited market‑wide systematic risk. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid margins (gross 55.7%, operating 16.3%) and a healthy free cash flow generation of $64.8 million, supporting its 1.9% dividend yield. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $96 is far beneath the current price, while analysts’ median target of $249.5 suggests a modest upside of about 20% from the model’s perspective.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Current valuation exceeds DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue and earnings growth
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
  • Low beta indicating defensive profile

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Durable brand with global distribution network
  • Stable dividend yield with moderate payout ratio
  • Long‑term growth opportunities in maintenance and specialty chemicals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.70%
Profit Margin12.57%
P/E Ratio35.3
ROE31.30%
ROA14.07%
Debt/Equity41.30
P/B Ratio10.4
Op. Cash Flow$89.3M
Free Cash Flow$64.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.6
Support$198.55
Resistance$228.12
MA 20$212.71
MA 50$217.64
MA 200$211.24
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$96.21
Target Price$249.50
Upside/Downside19.92%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility32.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.