WCN:NYSEWaste Connections, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$165.32
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Waste Connections, Inc. is priced at $165.32, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.2%. With RSI at 45.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $162.28 and resistance at $171.40.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 40.0 versus a 29.0 sector average, above the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 21.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.4% on a 10.9% profit margin. The 0.84% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.3%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 18.5%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 40.0 versus a 29.0 sector average, above the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 21.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.4% on a 10.9% profit margin. The 0.84% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.3%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 18.5%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Seeking Alpha1monWaste Connections tops Q2 estimates, raises outlook as margins expandWaste Connections WCN topped Wall...Waste management company Waste Connections NYSE:WCN beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales...Waste Connections beat consensus EPS by 11% with disciplined pricing pushing solid waste margins up 70 basis points...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 165.64
- MACD momentum is negative
- RSI at 45.5 is in neutral territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 40.0 versus sector average of 29.0
- Trading below the 200-day average of 165.64
- Analyst targets imply +21.3% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 40.0 versus sector average of 29.0
- Analyst targets imply +21.3% versus the current price
- Dividend yield of 0.84%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin10.86%
P/E Ratio40.0
ROE13.03%
ROA5.49%
Debt/Equity121.68
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.0B
Industry P/E29.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support$162.28
Resistance$171.40
MA 20$166.53
MA 50$167.59
MA 200$165.64
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.09
Valuation
Fair Value$31.76
Target Price$200.60
Upside/Downside21.34%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.84%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility18.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.