WBS:NYSEWebster Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time
$72.91
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Webster Financial (WBS) is trading at $72.91, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $72.32 and the 50‑day SMA of $70.52, while still below the 200‑day SMA of $63.91, indicating a **bullish short‑term momentum**. The stock sits near its technical support at $71.16 and faces resistance around $73.89, with an RSI of 58 suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions. Although the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, the overall trend direction remains bullish, supported by stable volume and a beta of 1.09, which points to modest market sensitivity. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 90.73) aligns with the modest upside potential of ~2% derived from the DCF fair value of $84.89.
Fundamentally, WBS trades at a **PE of 11.95**, well below the industry average of 16.39, and delivers a solid **operating margin of 49%** with revenue growth of 8.7% YoY. The dividend yield of 2.19% coupled with a low payout ratio of 26% underscores dividend sustainability, while a strong cash position ($2.72 B) offsets its $5.85 B debt load. Valuation appears **fair**, with modest upside and a resilient earnings profile, making the stock attractive for income‑focused investors seeking stability in the regional banking sector.
Fundamentally, WBS trades at a **PE of 11.95**, well below the industry average of 16.39, and delivers a solid **operating margin of 49%** with revenue growth of 8.7% YoY. The dividend yield of 2.19% coupled with a low payout ratio of 26% underscores dividend sustainability, while a strong cash position ($2.72 B) offsets its $5.85 B debt load. Valuation appears **fair**, with modest upside and a resilient earnings profile, making the stock attractive for income‑focused investors seeking stability in the regional banking sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment and price above key moving averages
- Support level near $71.16 with upside to $73.89
- Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- PE well below industry average indicating value
- Consistent revenue growth and high operating margin
- Sustainable dividend and strong cash position
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Modest DCF upside (~2%) limits large upside potential
- Regulatory environment for regional banks remains uncertain
- Stable but modest growth trajectory in a competitive sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.70%
Profit Margin37.44%
P/E Ratio12.0
ROE10.89%
ROA1.23%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.4
Support$71.16
Resistance$73.89
MA 20$72.32
MA 50$70.52
MA 200$63.91
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$84.89
Target Price$74.29
Upside/Downside1.90%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.09
Volatility15.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.