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WBS:NYSEWebster Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$72.91

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Webster Financial (WBS) is trading at $72.91, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $72.32 and the 50‑day SMA of $70.52, while still below the 200‑day SMA of $63.91, indicating a **bullish short‑term momentum**. The stock sits near its technical support at $71.16 and faces resistance around $73.89, with an RSI of 58 suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions. Although the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, the overall trend direction remains bullish, supported by stable volume and a beta of 1.09, which points to modest market sensitivity. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 90.73) aligns with the modest upside potential of ~2% derived from the DCF fair value of $84.89.
Fundamentally, WBS trades at a **PE of 11.95**, well below the industry average of 16.39, and delivers a solid **operating margin of 49%** with revenue growth of 8.7% YoY. The dividend yield of 2.19% coupled with a low payout ratio of 26% underscores dividend sustainability, while a strong cash position ($2.72 B) offsets its $5.85 B debt load. Valuation appears **fair**, with modest upside and a resilient earnings profile, making the stock attractive for income‑focused investors seeking stability in the regional banking sector.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment and price above key moving averages
  • Support level near $71.16 with upside to $73.89
  • Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • PE well below industry average indicating value
  • Consistent revenue growth and high operating margin
  • Sustainable dividend and strong cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Modest DCF upside (~2%) limits large upside potential
  • Regulatory environment for regional banks remains uncertain
  • Stable but modest growth trajectory in a competitive sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.70%
Profit Margin37.44%
P/E Ratio12.0
ROE10.89%
ROA1.23%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.4
Support$71.16
Resistance$73.89
MA 20$72.32
MA 50$70.52
MA 200$63.91
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$84.89
Target Price$74.29
Upside/Downside1.90%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.09
Volatility15.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.