WALMEX:BMVWal-Mart de Mexico SAB de CV Analysis

The moving-average structure behind Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is bearish at MXN 47.41, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 5.1%. Relative strength is 38.8 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at MXN 46.61 and resistance at MXN 50.86.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.4, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 29.0% above where the shares trade now. The 4.24% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.7%, a beta of 0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 26.1%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.