4161:TADAWULBinDawood Holding Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shinsung ST is trading at 35,300 KRW, notably below its 20‑day SMA of 36,500 KRW and just under the 50‑day SMA of 35,409 KRW, while the 14‑day RSI sits at a neutral 48.1. The MACD histogram remains negative, confirming a bearish technical momentum, and volume has been on a decreasing trend, suggesting weakening liquidity. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted by 12.2%, margins are thin (gross 18.2%, operating 4.7%, profit 2.3%), and free cash flow is deeply negative at –29.4 billion KRW, indicating cash‑burn. The balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 90% and total debt exceeding cash reserves, while the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 2,000 KRW is a fraction of the current price, flagging severe overvaluation. Dividend sustainability is doubtful given the high payout ratio (≈70%) amid zero EPS and negative cash flow. Overall, the stock faces high volatility (30‑day ≈ 90%), a beta near market, and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment that may be masking underlying weaknesses.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bearish MACD and negative histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- DCF fair value far below market price
- Negative free cash flow and high leverage
- Stagnant revenue growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Exposure to secular EV battery and ESS markets
- Potential turnaround if cash‑flow improves
- Continued dividend payout concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.