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WAFD:NASDAQWaFd, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$35.55

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

WaFd, Inc. is trading at $35.55, comfortably above its 20‑day ($34.80), 50‑day ($32.79) and 200‑day ($31.68) simple moving averages, signaling a bullish price trend. The stock’s RSI of 66 points to upward momentum while remaining below overbought levels, yet the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at a short‑term pullback. Recent earnings have outperformed expectations, with Q2 2026 EPS beating forecasts and the company receiving a buy upgrade from analysts, reinforcing confidence in its earnings power. Valuation is mixed: a forward P/E of 10.36 is well below the industry average of 16.39, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.99 suggests the market is pricing the stock near its book value, but a discounted cash‑flow model estimates a fair value of only $13.92, implying the current price may be stretched. The dividend yield of 3.04% with a modest 35% payout ratio, combined with strong operating cash flow, supports the sustainability of the dividend. Overall, the stock presents a bullish technical setup and solid fundamentals, yet elevated volatility (27.6% 30‑day) and sector‑specific risks temper the upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Earnings beat and analyst upgrade
  • Price above key moving averages
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Mixed valuation signals (fair P/E vs low DCF)
  • Stable cash flow and dividend sustainability
  • Sector headwinds and elevated volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend income
  • Solid operating margins and ROE
  • Regulatory and interest‑rate environment for regional banks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.20%
Profit Margin33.60%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE8.39%
ROA0.91%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$255.2M
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.4
Support$32.18
Resistance$36.11
MA 20$34.80
MA 50$32.79
MA 200$31.68
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$13.92
Target Price$37.00
Upside/Downside4.08%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility27.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.