VZ:NYSEVerizon Communications Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$50.45
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Verizon (VZ) is trading at $50.45, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $22.36, indicating the market is pricing significant premium. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA ($49.47) and 50‑day SMA ($44.45), confirming a short‑term bullish bias, but the RSI of 67 signals near‑overbought conditions and the MACD histogram is negative, hinting at a possible pull‑back. Volatility remains high at 37.5% over the past 30 days, yet beta is exceptionally low (≈0.11), suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves.
Fundamentally, VZ delivers a robust 5.54% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio of ~50%, strong free cash flow ($17.2 B), and a forward PE of 9.6 versus an industry average of 18.3, underscoring value characteristics. Recent earnings beat, an announced dividend increase, and RBC’s upgraded price target to $48 reflect confidence in the company’s turnaround plan, even as the current price exceeds analyst targets and the upside/downside projection is slightly negative (‑1.3%).
Fundamentally, VZ delivers a robust 5.54% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio of ~50%, strong free cash flow ($17.2 B), and a forward PE of 9.6 versus an industry average of 18.3, underscoring value characteristics. Recent earnings beat, an announced dividend increase, and RBC’s upgraded price target to $48 reflect confidence in the company’s turnaround plan, even as the current price exceeds analyst targets and the upside/downside projection is slightly negative (‑1.3%).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above resistance with bearish MACD signal
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Dividend increase supporting income appeal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Current price exceeds DCF fair value and analyst targets
- Strong cash flow and low payout ratio sustain dividend
- Turnaround plan expected to stabilize earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Low beta and defensive telecom exposure
- Stable free cash flow and attractive forward PE relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin12.43%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE17.07%
ROA5.01%
Debt/Equity174.78
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$37.1B
Free Cash Flow$17.2B
Industry P/E18.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.3
Support$45.82
Resistance$51.41
MA 20$49.47
MA 50$44.45
MA 200$42.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$22.36
Target Price$49.80
Upside/Downside-1.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.54%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility37.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.