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VZ:NYSEVerizon Communications Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$50.45

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Verizon (VZ) is trading at $50.45, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $22.36, indicating the market is pricing significant premium. The stock sits above its 20‑day SMA ($49.47) and 50‑day SMA ($44.45), confirming a short‑term bullish bias, but the RSI of 67 signals near‑overbought conditions and the MACD histogram is negative, hinting at a possible pull‑back. Volatility remains high at 37.5% over the past 30 days, yet beta is exceptionally low (≈0.11), suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves.
Fundamentally, VZ delivers a robust 5.54% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio of ~50%, strong free cash flow ($17.2 B), and a forward PE of 9.6 versus an industry average of 18.3, underscoring value characteristics. Recent earnings beat, an announced dividend increase, and RBC’s upgraded price target to $48 reflect confidence in the company’s turnaround plan, even as the current price exceeds analyst targets and the upside/downside projection is slightly negative (‑1.3%).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above resistance with bearish MACD signal
  • RSI approaching overbought levels
  • Dividend increase supporting income appeal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value and analyst targets
  • Strong cash flow and low payout ratio sustain dividend
  • Turnaround plan expected to stabilize earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Low beta and defensive telecom exposure
  • Stable free cash flow and attractive forward PE relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin12.43%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE17.07%
ROA5.01%
Debt/Equity174.78
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$37.1B
Free Cash Flow$17.2B
Industry P/E18.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.3
Support$45.82
Resistance$51.41
MA 20$49.47
MA 50$44.45
MA 200$42.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$22.36
Target Price$49.80
Upside/Downside-1.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility37.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.