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VSNT:NASDAQVersant Media Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$37.55

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Versant Media Group trades at $37.55, roughly 2.5% below its DCF fair value of $46.76, and its trailing P/E of 5.8 is dramatically lower than the entertainment industry average of 17.8, suggesting a *potential value cushion*. Revenue has contracted 6.6% year‑over‑year, yet the company still delivers a solid 56% gross margin and a 13% operating margin, indicating resilient profitability. The balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 9.45 and $983 million of debt against only $55 million of cash, raising concerns about dividend sustainability despite a 3.99% yield. On the technical side, the stock sits comfortably above its 20‑day ($33.37) and 50‑day ($33.27) moving averages, the MACD is bullish, and volume is increasing, but the RSI of 68 hints at near‑term overbought conditions as price approaches the $38.65 resistance level.
Given the low beta of 0.22, the stock’s price moves less than the broader market, while 30‑day volatility remains high at 43%, reflecting sector‑specific swings in media consumption. The combination of modest upside, strong cash flow generation ($565 million free cash flow), and a high dividend yield makes VSNT attractive to income‑focused investors, but the ongoing revenue decline and leverage suggest a cautious stance. Overall, the fundamentals point to a *fairly valued* but *value‑oriented* play, with short‑term price pressure near resistance and medium‑to‑long‑term upside limited by structural challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term moving averages
  • RSI approaching overbought levels near resistance
  • High dividend yield but leverage concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (low P/E)
  • Revenue contraction and high debt load
  • Stable cash flow supporting dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield for income investors
  • Low market beta offering defensive characteristics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.60%
Profit Margin13.91%
P/E Ratio5.8
ROE8.73%
ROA6.52%
Debt/Equity9.45
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$565.9M
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI67.7
Support$27.37
Resistance$38.65
MA 20$33.37
MA 50$33.27
MA 200$35.70
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$46.76
Target Price$38.50
Upside/Downside2.53%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.99%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility42.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.