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VACN:SIXVAT Group AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CHF 519.40

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

VAT Group is trading well above its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day SMA and both sitting far above the 200‑day SMA, underscoring a strong bullish bias. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at emerging bearish pressure. Volume has been on an upward trajectory, supporting the recent price advances, and the stock is currently testing a resistance level near the recent high. The latest earnings call highlighted a 23% year‑over‑year revenue increase in Q3, driven by a robust order backlog, though sequential growth showed a modest dip. Margins remain healthy with gross margins above 60% and operating margins above 20%, and cash flow generation is solid. However, the DCF‑derived fair value is dramatically lower than the market price, suggesting the market may be pricing in overly optimistic growth expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages but approaching resistance
  • Bearish MACD histogram despite rising volume
  • Neutral RSI indicating limited upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high profitability margins
  • Substantial cash flow generation supporting operations
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to fundamental intrinsic value
  • High dividend payout ratio raising sustainability concerns
  • Potential correction as market re‑prices growth expectations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin19.96%
P/E Ratio71.0
ROE27.70%
ROA12.34%
Debt/Equity31.30
P/B Ratio19.6
Op. Cash FlowCHF299.2M
Free Cash FlowCHF137.6M
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.5
SupportCHF 474.50
ResistanceCHF 558.60
MA 20CHF 523.70
MA 50CHF 493.44
MA 200CHF 368.69
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 74.57
Target PriceCHF 516.25
Upside/Downside-0.61%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility29.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.