UTWO:NASDAQUS Treasury 2 Year Note ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$47.77
Latest Price
2/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
F/m US Treasury 2 Year Note ETF trades at $47.77, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Relative strength is 33.2 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $47.76 up to resistance at $48.06.
The 0.15% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $482.4M in assets.
Risk scores 2 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 1.7% and a beta of 0.02, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The 0.15% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $482.4M in assets.
Risk scores 2 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 1.7% and a beta of 0.02, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 48.30
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 48.30
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Low expense ratio of 0.15%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 1.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$482.4M
Inception Date2022-08-08
Avg Daily Volume77,870
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.84%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.2
Support$47.76
Resistance$48.06
MA 20$47.96
MA 50$47.96
MA 200$48.30
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79
Risk Assessment
Beta0.02
Volatility1.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.