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UTHY:NASDAQUS Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$38.72

Latest Price

2/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

F/m US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF trades at $38.72, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 2.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 42.9 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $38.38 as support and $39.37 as the nearer resistance level.
The 0.15% expense ratio is competitive for its category, and the fund manages $179.8M in assets.
The composite risk read is 2/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 10.1%, a beta of 0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 11.4%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF UTHY declares $0.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.80
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.80
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Low expense ratio of 0.15%
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 10.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$179.8M
Inception Date2023-03-27
Avg Daily Volume123,310
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield5.26%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.9
Support$38.38
Resistance$39.37
MA 20$38.94
MA 50$39.56
MA 200$40.80
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.29

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility10.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.