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UTHR:NASDAQUnited Therapeutics Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time

$569.18

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Therapeutics (UTHR) is trading at $569.18, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $575.19 and well above the 200‑day SMA of $460.99, indicating a bullish long‑term trend. However, the price sits just above the near‑term support level of $560.16 and below the resistance of $609.35, while the MACD has turned bearish (histogram –1.40) and RSI hovers at a neutral 50.6, suggesting short‑term momentum may be weakening. The stock’s beta of 0.21 and a 30‑day volatility of 44.7% point to low systematic risk but high price swings, and volume is on a decreasing trend, which could exacerbate price instability. Fundamentally, UTHR boasts strong profitability (gross margin 86.6%, operating margin 41.7%, profit margin 40.6%) and a solid balance sheet with $2.15 bn cash and zero debt, yet revenue contracted by 1.6% YoY and the latest earnings missed consensus ($5.82 EPS vs $6.73 estimate). The DCF fair value of $229 is far below the market price, flagging the stock as potentially overvalued, though analysts’ targets (median $660) imply a 13% upside and the forward PE of 16.6 is attractive relative to the current PE of 21.0 and the industry average of 26.7.
The recent news adds mixed signals: the Q1 earnings miss and a $5.5 M insider sale by CEO Martine Rothblatt raise short‑term concerns, while the upcoming earnings release on May 6 may clarify the trajectory. With an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (90.9) and a buy recommendation from 13 analysts, the broader outlook remains positive, especially for investors focused on the company’s high margins, cash generation, and pipeline in pulmonary arterial hypertension and regenerative medicine.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support and bearish MACD
  • Q1 earnings miss and insider sell-off
  • Decreasing volume indicating weaker short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and cash position
  • Forward PE of 16.6 vs industry PE of 26.7
  • Analyst consensus target median $660 suggesting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust pipeline in PAH and regenerative medicine
  • Low debt and high ROE (20.3%)
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics in a volatile sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin40.62%
P/E Ratio21.0
ROE20.26%
ROA12.62%
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$564.3M
Industry P/E26.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.6
Support$560.16
Resistance$609.35
MA 20$575.19
MA 50$551.20
MA 200$460.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93

Valuation

Fair Value$228.96
Target Price$643.46
Upside/Downside13.05%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility44.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.