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UTHR:NASDAQUnited Therapeutics Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

$553.43

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Therapeutics is trading at $553, just above its recent support of $535 and below the 20‑day SMA of $556, while the MACD has turned bearish and volume is slipping, signaling short‑term pressure. The stock’s RSI sits near 48, indicating a neutral momentum environment, and the market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level on the Fear & Greed Index. Recent earnings were disappointing, with revenue down 1.6% YoY and GAAP EPS missing estimates by over 15%, which contributed to a -13.6% earnings surprise. Despite the near‑term headwinds, the company boasts a 86% gross margin, a 41% operating margin, and a cash pile exceeding $2 billion with zero debt, underscoring a robust balance sheet.
Looking ahead, the pipeline shows promise—most notably the phase‑3 ADVANCE OUTCOMES trial of Ralinepag met its primary endpoint with a 55% risk reduction, offering a potential catalyst. Analysts remain bullish, averaging a price target of $665, and the forward PE of 17.4 suggests earnings growth is priced in. However, the DCF fair value of roughly $227 is far below the current price, implying the stock may be overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates. Overall, the fundamentals are strong, but the technicals and recent earnings miss temper short‑term optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings and revenue miss
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Price near technical support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Positive phase‑3 trial results for Ralinepag
  • Strong cash position and zero debt
  • Analyst price targets indicating upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high margins and profitable operations
  • Diversified specialty‑drug pipeline
  • Low beta and solid balance sheet supporting stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin40.62%
P/E Ratio20.5
ROE20.26%
ROA12.62%
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$566.4M
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.9
Support$534.97
Resistance$580.39
MA 20$555.93
MA 50$566.89
MA 200$494.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.64

Valuation

Fair Value$226.59
Target Price$665.23
Upside/Downside20.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility26.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.