UTEN:NASDAQUS Treasury 10 Year Note ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
UTEN is trading at $43.35, just above the calculated support of $43.10 and below the 20‑day SMA of $43.58, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 14‑day RSI of 43.6 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest momentum is still on the downside, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 5.2% remains modest. With a beta of only 0.06, the fund is largely insulated from equity market swings, and its expense ratio of 0.15% is exceptionally low for an ETF. The dividend yield of 4.43% provides a solid income cushion, but the YTD return of –0.37% and a max drawdown of –3.75% highlight recent price pressure. Volume is increasing, yet current daily volume (≈14.9k) lags the 10‑day and 3‑month averages, pointing to moderate liquidity. The Fear & Greed Index at 90.93 (Extreme Greed) signals heightened market optimism, which could reverse if Treasury yields rise further. Overall, the fund’s tight tracking error (0) and zero premium/discount reinforce its fidelity to the underlying 10‑year Treasury benchmark, but the bearish technical backdrop warrants caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price near support with bearish MACD and RSI
- Rising volume but still below average, indicating limited buying pressure
- High market greed environment could trigger a pullback
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Stable 4.43% dividend yield offers income appeal
- Very low beta and tracking error reduce market and tracking risk
- Expense ratio of 0.15% keeps cost drag minimal
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Government‑bond focus provides safety in diversified portfolios
- Consistently low expense ratio and near‑zero tracking error
- Low currency and sector concentration risks support durability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Technical Analysis
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.