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6368:TSEOrgano Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥15,140.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its short‑term moving averages, indicating recent price weakness. Momentum indicators show an mid‑range RSI and a bearish MACD divergence, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volume has been on a downtrend, which may constrain short‑term price moves. Despite these signals, the broader trend is still classified as bullish, providing a backdrop for a potential rebound. The beta sits below the market average, implying modest sensitivity to overall market swings. However, recent month volatility is elevated, highlighting the potential for sizable price swings.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and healthy operating margins. Return on equity is strong, supporting the case for efficient capital deployment. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is low, pointing to a sustainable dividend policy. Debt levels are high relative to equity, yet cash balances are sizable, mitigating balance‑sheet concerns. Valuation metrics, notably a price‑to‑earnings multiple below the industry average, suggest the stock is undervalued. Combined with reasonable upside potential and defensive sector positioning, the longer‑term outlook remains positive.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term averages
  • bearish MACD signal
  • decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued relative to peers
  • solid earnings growth
  • sustainable dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong return on equity
  • defensive water‑treatment sector
  • healthy cash position despite leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.60%
Profit Margin16.08%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE23.46%
ROA11.94%
Debt/Equity24.27
P/B Ratio5.3
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.7
Support¥14,035.00
Resistance¥18,260.00
MA 20¥16,137.50
MA 50¥15,531.80
MA 200¥12,117.18
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥16,250.00
Upside/Downside7.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.25%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility64.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.