USOI:NASDAQETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETNs due April 24, 2037 Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time
$55.63
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
USOI has delivered a 46.27% YTD return, outpacing most equity benchmarks. The fund trades at $55.63, just below its 20‑day SMA of $56.75 but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of $51.52, suggesting a long‑term bullish bias. The 50‑day SMA sits at $56.15, indicating short‑term pressure near recent averages. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI‑14 sits at 47.5, near the neutral zone, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 50% over the past 30 days, and the Fear‑Greed Index reads 90.93 – Extreme Greed. The ETN’s beta of ‑0.21 implies a slight inverse reaction to broader market moves, adding a defensive tilt. Expense ratio is 0.85% and the quoted dividend‑equivalent yield is an eye‑catching 32.57%, reflecting the premium earned from selling covered calls.
The covered‑call methodology caps upside at about 6% per month, which explains why USOI’s price lagged the 91% rally in crude oil. Support sits near $51.72 and resistance near $60.67, giving a modest upside corridor. Volume trends are decreasing, hinting at potential liquidity constraints despite an average 10‑day volume of ~99k shares. Sector concentration is high, as the product is fully exposed to crude‑oil volatility, amplifying commodity‑specific risk. Given the strong income generation but limited capital appreciation, the fund is best suited for investors seeking monthly cash flow in a high‑volatility environment.
The covered‑call methodology caps upside at about 6% per month, which explains why USOI’s price lagged the 91% rally in crude oil. Support sits near $51.72 and resistance near $60.67, giving a modest upside corridor. Volume trends are decreasing, hinting at potential liquidity constraints despite an average 10‑day volume of ~99k shares. Sector concentration is high, as the product is fully exposed to crude‑oil volatility, amplifying commodity‑specific risk. Given the strong income generation but limited capital appreciation, the fund is best suited for investors seeking monthly cash flow in a high‑volatility environment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance but capped upside
- Bearish MACD indicating near‑term weakness
- Support level provides downside buffer
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Continued oil volatility supports premium income
- High dividend‑equivalent yield
- Long‑term bullish trend above 200‑day SMA
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High sector concentration in crude oil
- Negative beta offering modest market hedge
- Expense ratio and capped upside limit total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$325.2M
Inception Date2017-04-25
Avg Daily Volume99,460
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield32.57%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.5
Support$51.72
Resistance$60.67
MA 20$56.75
MA 50$56.15
MA 200$51.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.21
Volatility49.97%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.