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USOI:NASDAQETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETNs due April 24, 2037 Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time

$55.63

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

USOI has delivered a 46.27% YTD return, outpacing most equity benchmarks. The fund trades at $55.63, just below its 20‑day SMA of $56.75 but comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of $51.52, suggesting a long‑term bullish bias. The 50‑day SMA sits at $56.15, indicating short‑term pressure near recent averages. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI‑14 sits at 47.5, near the neutral zone, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 50% over the past 30 days, and the Fear‑Greed Index reads 90.93Extreme Greed. The ETN’s beta of ‑0.21 implies a slight inverse reaction to broader market moves, adding a defensive tilt. Expense ratio is 0.85% and the quoted dividend‑equivalent yield is an eye‑catching 32.57%, reflecting the premium earned from selling covered calls.
The covered‑call methodology caps upside at about 6% per month, which explains why USOI’s price lagged the 91% rally in crude oil. Support sits near $51.72 and resistance near $60.67, giving a modest upside corridor. Volume trends are decreasing, hinting at potential liquidity constraints despite an average 10‑day volume of ~99k shares. Sector concentration is high, as the product is fully exposed to crude‑oil volatility, amplifying commodity‑specific risk. Given the strong income generation but limited capital appreciation, the fund is best suited for investors seeking monthly cash flow in a high‑volatility environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD performance but capped upside
  • Bearish MACD indicating near‑term weakness
  • Support level provides downside buffer

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Continued oil volatility supports premium income
  • High dividend‑equivalent yield
  • Long‑term bullish trend above 200‑day SMA

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High sector concentration in crude oil
  • Negative beta offering modest market hedge
  • Expense ratio and capped upside limit total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$325.2M
Inception Date2017-04-25
Avg Daily Volume99,460
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield32.57%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.5
Support$51.72
Resistance$60.67
MA 20$56.75
MA 50$56.15
MA 200$51.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.21
Volatility49.97%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.