We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

USIO:NASDAQUsio, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$2.13

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Usio, Inc. (USIO) is trading at $2.13, just above its 20‑day SMA of $2.14 and comfortably above the 50‑day ($1.94) and 200‑day ($1.49) averages, suggesting a short‑term bullish bias. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while RSI sits at a neutral 54, and the 30‑day volatility is an elevated 87%, indicating a choppy price environment.
Fundamentally, the company reports 15.7% revenue growth YoY but remains unprofitable with a –2.4% profit margin and a forward P/E of 106.5 versus an industry average of 32.8, flagging severe overvaluation. The DCF‑derived fair value of $0.21 implies the current price is over 160% above intrinsic estimates. Cash balances ($7.7 M) modestly exceed debt ($4.9 M), and operating cash flow is positive, yet negative earnings and a weak ROE (‑11.6%) undermine confidence. Recent press releases highlight a strategic push into PayFac services, which analysts see as a “crown‑jewel” growth catalyst, but the upside must be weighed against the high valuation and volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Current price far exceeds DCF fair value
  • Negative earnings and high forward P/E
  • High 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of ~16% YoY
  • Positive operating cash flow
  • Increasing trading volume indicating market interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from PayFac platform rollout
  • Improving cash position with low debt
  • Sector exposure to fintech disruption

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.70%
Profit Margin-2.42%
P/E Ratio106.5
ROE-11.61%
ROA-1.03%
Debt/Equity26.86
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.1M
Free Cash Flow$117.5K
Industry P/E32.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.0
Support$1.85
Resistance$2.59
MA 20$2.14
MA 50$1.94
MA 200$1.49
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value$0.21
Target Price$5.58
Upside/Downside162.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.05
Volatility87.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.